FIELD MEASUREMENTS OF TSUNAMI EVACUATION DYNAMICS

The Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) threatens Vancouver Island, Canada, with a significant risk of near- field tsunamis. Both oral history and geological records (Ludwin et al., 2005) document the last major CSZ tsunami event in the year 1700. To mitigate the loss of life during tsunami events, soft measures, such as evacuation planning, have been suggested (Shibayama et al., 2013). Considering that Vancouver Island is expected to face wave arrival times within 20 minutes for a CSZ tsunami (Takabatake et al., 2019), detailed and accurate evacuation planning is essential. Agent-based models (ABMs) have been recommended in preference to Geographic Information Systems (GIS) when performing evacuation assessments as they can portray evacuation dynamics more realistically (Kim et al., 2022). While tsunami evacuation ABMs have been used to assess life safety for multiple coastal communities (Mas et al., 2015), there is a significant lack of data on tsunami evacuation behaviour to inform and calibrate these ABMs.

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Publication Details

Journal
Coastal Engineering Proceedings
Published
2025-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.9753/icce.v38.management.115
Primary Topic
Earthquake and Tsunami Effects
Type
article
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article

FIELD MEASUREMENTS OF TSUNAMI EVACUATION DYNAMICS

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Coastal Engineering Proceedings
Earthquake and Tsunami Effects
article

FIELD MEASUREMENTS OF TSUNAMI EVACUATION DYNAMICS

Nils Goseberg, Andrew Cornett, Tomoya Shibayama, Enda Murphy, Ioan Nistor, Naoto Inagaki, Joseph Kim
article en

Abstract

The Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) threatens Vancouver Island, Canada, with a significant risk of near- field tsunamis. Both oral history and geological records (Ludwin et al., 2005) document the last major CSZ tsunami event in the year 1700. To mitigate the loss of life during tsunami events, soft measures, such as evacuation planning, have been suggested (Shibayama et al., 2013). Considering that Vancouver Island is expected to face wave arrival times within 20 minutes for a CSZ tsunami (Takabatake et al., 2019), detailed and accurate evacuation planning is essential. Agent-based models (ABMs) have been recommended in preference to Geographic Information Systems (GIS) when performing evacuation assessments as they can portray evacuation dynamics more realistically (Kim et al., 2022). While tsunami evacuation ABMs have been used to assess life safety for multiple coastal communities (Mas et al., 2015), there is a significant lack of data on tsunami evacuation behaviour to inform and calibrate these ABMs.

Coastal Engineering Proceedings(38)
Openalex Percentile: Top 71%
Earthquake and Tsunami Effects
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