CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS ON COASTAL HAZARDS IN NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR, CANADA

Newfoundland and Labrador, situated on the eastern coast of Canada, is particularly susceptible to the adverse effects of climate change. Increasing sea levels, intensifying storm events, and shifting weather patterns have led to profound alterations in coastal dynamics, posing significant threats to the region's communities, infrastructure, and natural ecosystems. Coastal erosion, inundation, and storm surge have become pressing concerns, necessitating a comprehensive analysis of these challenges. Our study employs numerical modeling tools to simulate wave and surge dynamics in the context of climate change. By considering historical data and incorporating climate projections, we assess how changing environmental conditions influence coastal hazards. Robust wave climate projections should consider uncertainties in climate modelling by using a multi-model ensemble (Knutti et al. 2010) and considering different socio-economic pathway scenarios (SSPs). Therefore, we developed a methodology which allows for easily expanding the number ensemble members and climate scenarios using limited computational resources.