Astronomical Forcing of Fine-Grained Sedimentary Rocks and Its Implications for Shale Oil and Gas Exploration: The BONAN Sag, Bohai Bay Basin, China

Fine-grained sedimentary rocks are ideal carriers for astronomical cycle analysis as they can record and preserve significant astronomical cycle signals. Spectral analysis using the Multi-taper Method (MTM) and Evolutionary Harmonic Analysis (EHA) using the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) were conducted on natural gamma data from key wells in the Es3l sub-member in the Bonan Sag, Bohai Bay Basin, China. Gaussian bandpass filtering was applied using a short eccentricity cycle of 100 ka, and a “floating” astronomical time scale for the Es3l sub-member (Lower 3rd sub-member of Shahejie Formation in Eocene) was established using magnetic stratigraphic ages as boundaries. Stratigraphic divisions were made for single wells in the Es3l of the Bonan Sag, and a stratigraphic framework was established based on correlations between key wells. The research results indicate the following: Firstly, the Es3l of the Bonan Sag records significant astronomical cycle signals, with an optimal sedimentation rate of 8.39 cm/ka identified. Secondly, the cyclical thicknesses corresponding to long eccentricity, short eccentricity, obliquity, and precession cycles are 38.9 m, 9.7 m, 4.6–3.4 m, and 1.96–1.66 m, respectively. Thirdly, the Es3l sub-member stably records 6 long eccentricity cycles and 26 short eccentricity cycles, and the short eccentricity curve is used as a basis for stratigraphic division for high-precision stratigraphic correlations. Fourthly, the quality of sandstone-interbedded mudrock is jointly controlled by the short eccentricity and precession. Eccentricity maximum values result in thicker sandstone interlayers, while minimum precession values promote the thickness of sandstone interlayers. Through astronomical cycle analysis, the depositional evolution mechanism of sandstone-interbedded mudrock is revealed. Combined with the results of high-precision stratigraphic division, this can provide a basis for fine evaluation and “sweet spot” prediction of lacustrine shale oil reservoirs.