Predictive Value of Heart Rate Variability for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Patients

<i>Background and Objectives:</i> Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent complication after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and is particularly associated with poor outcomes. Heart rate variability (HRV), a non-invasive marker of autonomic function, has been proposed as a tool to predict AF risk, but its utility in off-pump CABG remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of preoperative HRV parameters, including nonlinear metrics, for postoperative AF in patients undergoing off-pump CABG. <i>Materials and Methods</i>: We prospectively enrolled 67 patients undergoing elective off-pump CABG. HRV was assessed using 15 min high-resolution ECGs. Linear and nonlinear HRV parameters were analyzed. Postoperative AF was monitored through continuous ECG (days 0-4), daily 12-lead ECGs (days 5-7), and a 24 h Holter ECG on day 7. Statistical comparisons between AF and non-AF groups were performed, and the predictive accuracy was evaluated using ROC analysis. <i>Results</i>: Postoperative AF occurred in 40.3% (n = 27) of patients. Standard HRV measures (total power, frequency components, LF/HF ratio) did not differ significantly between groups. However, preoperative DFA Alpha 1 was significantly lower in patients who developed AF (<i>p</i> = 0.010) and showed the highest predictive value (AUC = 0.725, specificity = 80%). Alpha 1 also remained significantly reduced postoperatively in the AF group. Other nonlinear parameters, such as low and average fractal dimension, were also lower postoperatively in the AF group. <i>Conclusions</i>: Traditional HRV parameters showed limited predictive value for postoperative AF following off-pump CABG. The nonlinear DFA Alpha 1 index demonstrated a moderate predictive performance and may serve as a useful marker of autonomic dysregulation. Incorporating nonlinear HRV measures into preoperative assessment may improve AF risk stratification.

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Journal
Medicina
Published
2025-05-26
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/medicina61060984
Primary Topic
Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
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article
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article

Predictive Value of Heart Rate Variability for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Patients

Jurij Matija Kališnik, Juš Kšela, Viktor Avbelj, Jan Kafol
Medicina
Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
article

Predictive Value of Heart Rate Variability for Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation in Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Patients

Jurij Matija Kališnik, Juš Kšela, Viktor Avbelj, Jan Kafol
article en

Abstract

<i>Background and Objectives:</i> Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) is a frequent complication after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), and is particularly associated with poor outcomes. Heart rate variability (HRV), a non-invasive marker of autonomic function, has been proposed as a tool to predict AF risk, but its utility in off-pump CABG remains unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of preoperative HRV parameters, including nonlinear metrics, for postoperative AF in patients undergoing off-pump CABG. <i>Materials and Methods</i>: We prospectively enrolled 67 patients undergoing elective off-pump CABG. HRV was assessed using 15 min high-resolution ECGs. Linear and nonlinear HRV parameters were analyzed. Postoperative AF was monitored through continuous ECG (days 0-4), daily 12-lead ECGs (days 5-7), and a 24 h Holter ECG on day 7. Statistical comparisons between AF and non-AF groups were performed, and the predictive accuracy was evaluated using ROC analysis. <i>Results</i>: Postoperative AF occurred in 40.3% (n = 27) of patients. Standard HRV measures (total power, frequency components, LF/HF ratio) did not differ significantly between groups. However, preoperative DFA Alpha 1 was significantly lower in patients who developed AF (<i>p</i> = 0.010) and showed the highest predictive value (AUC = 0.725, specificity = 80%). Alpha 1 also remained significantly reduced postoperatively in the AF group. Other nonlinear parameters, such as low and average fractal dimension, were also lower postoperatively in the AF group. <i>Conclusions</i>: Traditional HRV parameters showed limited predictive value for postoperative AF following off-pump CABG. The nonlinear DFA Alpha 1 index demonstrated a moderate predictive performance and may serve as a useful marker of autonomic dysregulation. Incorporating nonlinear HRV measures into preoperative assessment may improve AF risk stratification.

MedicinaVol. 61(6)
University of Ljubljana (SI), University of Graz (AT), Ljubljana University Medical Centre (SI), Jožef Stefan Institute (SI)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Heart Rate Variability and Autonomic Control
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