Information Acquisition and Time-Risk Preference

An agent acquires information dynamically until her belief about a binary state reaches an upper or lower threshold. She can choose any signal process subject to a constraint on the rate of entropy reduction. Strategies are ordered by “time risk”—the dispersion of the distribution of threshold-hitting times. We construct a strategy maximizing time risk (Greedy Exploitation) and one minimizing it (Pure Accumulation). Under either, beliefs follow a compensated Poisson process. In the former, beliefs jump to the threshold closer in Bregman divergence. In the latter, beliefs jump to the unique point with the same entropy as the current belief. (JEL D81, D82, D83)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Review Insights
Published
2025-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20240216
Primary Topic
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Information Acquisition and Time-Risk Preference

Weijie Zhong, Daniel Chen
American Economic Review Insights
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
article

Information Acquisition and Time-Risk Preference

Weijie Zhong, Daniel Chen
article en

Abstract

An agent acquires information dynamically until her belief about a binary state reaches an upper or lower threshold. She can choose any signal process subject to a constraint on the rate of entropy reduction. Strategies are ordered by “time risk”—the dispersion of the distribution of threshold-hitting times. We construct a strategy maximizing time risk (Greedy Exploitation) and one minimizing it (Pure Accumulation). Under either, beliefs follow a compensated Poisson process. In the former, beliefs jump to the threshold closer in Bregman divergence. In the latter, beliefs jump to the unique point with the same entropy as the current belief. (JEL D81, D82, D83)

American Economic Review InsightsVol. 7(2)
Princeton University (US), Stanford University (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics
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