The Broad Decline in Health and Human Capital of Americans Born after 1947

I present evidence of a cross-cohort decline in the health and human capital of Americans, beginning with those born after 1947 and continuing until those born in the mid-1960s. Education, men’s wages, women’s maternal health (proxied by their infants’ birth weight), and mortality all exhibit trend breaks near the 1947 cohort, such that each outcome worsens for subsequent cohorts relative to prior trend. The decline is large enough to drive educational declines in the 1960s, increases in low birth weight in the 1980s, and mortality increases since 1999 and to contribute substantially to wage stagnation since the 1970s. (JEL I12, I26, J13, J16, J24, J31)

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Review Insights
Published
2025-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20230588
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Employment and Welfare Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.82
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

The Broad Decline in Health and Human Capital of Americans Born after 1947

Nick J. Reynolds
1 citations
American Economic Review Insights
Employment and Welfare Studies
2.82
article

The Broad Decline in Health and Human Capital of Americans Born after 1947

Nick J. Reynolds
article en
1 citations

Abstract

I present evidence of a cross-cohort decline in the health and human capital of Americans, beginning with those born after 1947 and continuing until those born in the mid-1960s. Education, men’s wages, women’s maternal health (proxied by their infants’ birth weight), and mortality all exhibit trend breaks near the 1947 cohort, such that each outcome worsens for subsequent cohorts relative to prior trend. The decline is large enough to drive educational declines in the 1960s, increases in low birth weight in the 1980s, and mortality increases since 1999 and to contribute substantially to wage stagnation since the 1970s. (JEL I12, I26, J13, J16, J24, J31)

American Economic Review InsightsVol. 7(2)
University of Essex (GB)
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Employment and Welfare Studies
2.82
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.