Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?

US monetary policy decisions are made by the 12 voting members of the FOMC, seven of which inherently represent national-level interests. The remaining members, a rotating group of presidents from the 12 Federal Reserve districts, come instead from subnational jurisdictions. Does this structure have implications for the monetary policymaking process? We provide novel evidence that regional economic conditions influence the voting behavior of district presidents. Specifically, a regional unemployment rate that is 1 percentage point higher than the national level is associated with an approximately 9 percentage point higher probability of dissenting in favor of looser policy at the FOMC. (JEL E24, E32, E43, E52, E58)

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Publication Details

Journal
American Economic Review Insights
Published
2025-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1257/aeri.20240184
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
6.17
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article

Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?

Mauricio Ulate, Rupal Kamdar, Anton Bobrov
2 citations
American Economic Review Insights
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
6.17
article

Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?

Mauricio Ulate, Rupal Kamdar, Anton Bobrov
article en
2 citations

Abstract

US monetary policy decisions are made by the 12 voting members of the FOMC, seven of which inherently represent national-level interests. The remaining members, a rotating group of presidents from the 12 Federal Reserve districts, come instead from subnational jurisdictions. Does this structure have implications for the monetary policymaking process? We provide novel evidence that regional economic conditions influence the voting behavior of district presidents. Specifically, a regional unemployment rate that is 1 percentage point higher than the national level is associated with an approximately 9 percentage point higher probability of dissenting in favor of looser policy at the FOMC. (JEL E24, E32, E43, E52, E58)

American Economic Review InsightsVol. 7(2)
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (US), University of Michigan (US), Indiana University Bloomington (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact
6.17
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Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes? — Mauricio Ulate, Rupal Kamdar, et al. · American Economic Review Insights (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS