Design of Non-Standard Finite Difference and Dynamical Consistent Approximation of Campylobacteriosis Epidemic Model with Memory Effects

Campylobacteriosis has been described as an ever-changing disease and health issue that is rather dangerous for different population groups all over the globe. The World Health Organization (WHO) reports that 33 million years of healthy living are lost annually, and nearly one in ten persons have foodborne illnesses, including Campylobacteriosis. This explains why there is a need to develop new policies and strategies in the management of diseases at the intergovernmental level. Within this framework, an advanced stochastic fractional delayed model for Campylobacteriosis includes new stochastic, memory, and time delay factors. This model adopts a numerical computational technique called the Grunwald–Letnikov-based Nonstandard Finite Difference (GL-NSFD) scheme, which yields an exponential fitted solution that is non-negative and uniformly bounded, which are essential characteristics when working with compartmental models in epidemic research. Two equilibrium states are identified: the first is an infectious Campylobacteriosis-free state, and the second is a Campylobacteriosis-present state. When stability analysis with the help of the basic reproduction number R0 is performed, the stability of both equilibrium points depends on the R0 value. This is in concordance with the actual epidemiological data and the research conducted by the WHO in recent years, with a focus on the tendency to increase the rate of infections and the necessity to intervene in time. The model goes further to analyze how a delay in response affects the band of Campylobacteriosis spread, and also agrees that a delay in response is a significant factor. The first simulations of the current state of the system suggest that certain conditions can be achieved, and the eradication of the disease is possible if specific precautions are taken. The outcomes also indicate that enhancing the levels of compliance with the WHO-endorsed SOPs by a significant margin can lower infection rates significantly, which can serve as a roadmap to respond to this public health threat. Unlike most analytical papers, this research contributes actual findings and provides useful recommendations for disease management approaches and policies.

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Journal
Fractal and Fractional
Published
2025-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract9060358
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Animal Virus Infections Studies
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article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.19
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article

Design of Non-Standard Finite Difference and Dynamical Consistent Approximation of Campylobacteriosis Epidemic Model with Memory Effects

Feliz Minhós, Ali Raza, Wafa F. Alfwzan, Emad Fadhal et al.
1 citations
Fractal and Fractional
Animal Virus Infections Studies
1.19
article

Design of Non-Standard Finite Difference and Dynamical Consistent Approximation of Campylobacteriosis Epidemic Model with Memory Effects

Feliz Minhós, Ali Raza, Wafa F. Alfwzan, Emad Fadhal, Umar Shafique
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Campylobacteriosis has been described as an ever-changing disease and health issue that is rather dangerous for different population groups all over the globe. The World Health Organization (WHO) reports that 33 million years of healthy living are lost annually, and nearly one in ten persons have foodborne illnesses, including Campylobacteriosis. This explains why there is a need to develop new policies and strategies in the management of diseases at the intergovernmental level. Within this framework, an advanced stochastic fractional delayed model for Campylobacteriosis includes new stochastic, memory, and time delay factors. This model adopts a numerical computational technique called the Grunwald–Letnikov-based Nonstandard Finite Difference (GL-NSFD) scheme, which yields an exponential fitted solution that is non-negative and uniformly bounded, which are essential characteristics when working with compartmental models in epidemic research. Two equilibrium states are identified: the first is an infectious Campylobacteriosis-free state, and the second is a Campylobacteriosis-present state. When stability analysis with the help of the basic reproduction number R0 is performed, the stability of both equilibrium points depends on the R0 value. This is in concordance with the actual epidemiological data and the research conducted by the WHO in recent years, with a focus on the tendency to increase the rate of infections and the necessity to intervene in time. The model goes further to analyze how a delay in response affects the band of Campylobacteriosis spread, and also agrees that a delay in response is a significant factor. The first simulations of the current state of the system suggest that certain conditions can be achieved, and the eradication of the disease is possible if specific precautions are taken. The outcomes also indicate that enhancing the levels of compliance with the WHO-endorsed SOPs by a significant margin can lower infection rates significantly, which can serve as a roadmap to respond to this public health threat. Unlike most analytical papers, this research contributes actual findings and provides useful recommendations for disease management approaches and policies.

Fractal and FractionalVol. 9(6)
Princess Nourah bint Abdulrahman University (SA), University of Évora (PT), National College of Business Administration and Economics (PK), The University of Chenab, Gujrat, King Faisal University (SA), University of Gujrat (PK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 24%
Animal Virus Infections Studies
1.19
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