PostForecasts.jl: A Julia package for probabilistic forecasting by postprocessing point predictions

Postprocessing of point predictions is a relatively simple and efficient way to compute probabilistic forecasts, which are the basis of uncertainty assessment for decision support and risk management. The PostForecasts.jl package in Julia provides types and functions to easily convert point forecasts into probabilistic ones using Historical Simulation, Conformal Prediction, Isotonic Distributional Regression, and variants of Quantile Regression Averaging. By leveraging the developments in the point forecasting literature, it offers a set of easy-to-use, computationally undemanding, and robust tools to derive predictive distributions.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
SoftwareX
Published
2025-05-29
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.softx.2025.102200
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73

Funders

Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

PostForecasts.jl: A Julia package for probabilistic forecasting by postprocessing point predictions

Rafał Weron, Arkadiusz Lipiecki
1 citations
SoftwareX
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
article

PostForecasts.jl: A Julia package for probabilistic forecasting by postprocessing point predictions

Rafał Weron, Arkadiusz Lipiecki
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Postprocessing of point predictions is a relatively simple and efficient way to compute probabilistic forecasts, which are the basis of uncertainty assessment for decision support and risk management. The PostForecasts.jl package in Julia provides types and functions to easily convert point forecasts into probabilistic ones using Historical Simulation, Conformal Prediction, Isotonic Distributional Regression, and variants of Quantile Regression Averaging. By leveraging the developments in the point forecasting literature, it offers a set of easy-to-use, computationally undemanding, and robust tools to derive predictive distributions.

SoftwareXVol. 31
Wrocław University of Science and Technology (PL), AGH University of Krakow (PL)
Narodowe Centrum Nauki
Openalex Percentile: Top 28%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.