Predicting Life Expectancy Using Stacking Regressor Models: Analyzing the Impact of GDP and Population Dynamics

Accurately modeling the relationship between socio-economic factors such as GDP, population size, and life expectancy is vital for evidence-based policymaking. This study presents a machine learning framework using stacking regressors to predict life expectancy while capturing the complex, non-linear interactions of GDP and population dynamics over time. The methodology involves comprehensive data preprocessing, parameter tuning via GridSearchCV, and rigorous evaluation using cross-validation to ensure reliability. The proposed approach provides interpretable insights into how variations in GDP and population size influence life expectancy trends, offering valuable guidance for economic and demographic planning. Experimental results highlight the effectiveness of the stacking model, achieving a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.295 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.443, outperforming traditional regression and tree-based methods. This framework offers a robust solution for researchers and policymakers aiming to understand and predict long-term socio-economic outcomes.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Published
2025-02-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ecce64574.2025.11013274
Primary Topic
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Predicting Life Expectancy Using Stacking Regressor Models: Analyzing the Impact of GDP and Population Dynamics

Marzia Ahmed, Touhid Bhuiyan, Abu Kowshir Bitto, Md. Maruf Hassan
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
article

Predicting Life Expectancy Using Stacking Regressor Models: Analyzing the Impact of GDP and Population Dynamics

Marzia Ahmed, Touhid Bhuiyan, Abu Kowshir Bitto, Md. Maruf Hassan
article en

Abstract

Accurately modeling the relationship between socio-economic factors such as GDP, population size, and life expectancy is vital for evidence-based policymaking. This study presents a machine learning framework using stacking regressors to predict life expectancy while capturing the complex, non-linear interactions of GDP and population dynamics over time. The methodology involves comprehensive data preprocessing, parameter tuning via GridSearchCV, and rigorous evaluation using cross-validation to ensure reliability. The proposed approach provides interpretable insights into how variations in GDP and population size influence life expectancy trends, offering valuable guidance for economic and demographic planning. Experimental results highlight the effectiveness of the stacking model, achieving a Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.295 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 0.443, outperforming traditional regression and tree-based methods. This framework offers a robust solution for researchers and policymakers aiming to understand and predict long-term socio-economic outcomes.

Daffodil International University (BD), Southeast University (BD)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 80%
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.