Exploring the Potential of Machine Learning for EV Energy Demand Forecasting in Bangladesh

The expanding use of electric vehicles (EVs) in Bangladesh poses a substantial challenge to the current power grid. This study which intends to address this issue, creates a machine learning-based model that reliably forecasts EV energy use at charging stations. Using a dataset from California City as a proxy, we investigate the performance of different machine learning techniques, such as Random Forest (RF), Decision Tree (DT), and Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR). Gradient Boosting Regression outperformed other methods, with a R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> of 0.999959 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0071. The ramifications of this research go beyond making correct forecasts. This study helps to ensure the successful integration of EVs into Bangladesh’s transportation sector by optimizing energy management, assessing grid impacts, and supporting sustainable infrastructure development. This paper is a pioneering effort to anticipate EV energy use in emerging countries, giving valuable data for policymakers and industry professionals.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-13
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ecce64574.2025.11013810
Primary Topic
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Exploring the Potential of Machine Learning for EV Energy Demand Forecasting in Bangladesh

Adnan Quaium, Farsheed Haque, S. Dey, Md Minhajul Amin et al.
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
article

Exploring the Potential of Machine Learning for EV Energy Demand Forecasting in Bangladesh

Adnan Quaium, Farsheed Haque, S. Dey, Md Minhajul Amin, Humayra Tabassum, Md Nazrul Islam Jony
article en

Abstract

The expanding use of electric vehicles (EVs) in Bangladesh poses a substantial challenge to the current power grid. This study which intends to address this issue, creates a machine learning-based model that reliably forecasts EV energy use at charging stations. Using a dataset from California City as a proxy, we investigate the performance of different machine learning techniques, such as Random Forest (RF), Decision Tree (DT), and Gradient Boosting Regression (GBR). Gradient Boosting Regression outperformed other methods, with a R<sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">2</sup> of 0.999959 and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0071. The ramifications of this research go beyond making correct forecasts. This study helps to ensure the successful integration of EVs into Bangladesh’s transportation sector by optimizing energy management, assessing grid impacts, and supporting sustainable infrastructure development. This paper is a pioneering effort to anticipate EV energy use in emerging countries, giving valuable data for policymakers and industry professionals.

Ahsanullah University of Science and Technology (BD)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Electric Vehicles and Infrastructure
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