Emergence of unquenchable rumors with extended SIR epidemic model

With the advent of the internet era, certain inaccurate news items, namely rumors, have become increasingly difficult to manage and even hard to eradicate. In this paper, considering the characteristics of information communication in current time, we extend the classic SIR infectious diseases model from a neighbor communication mechanism to a non-neighbor communication mechanism. We find that under the new communication mechanism, if there is a situation where the credibility of a rumor is greater than the credibility of the truth, and the intensity parameters for governing the rumor have also been determined, then once the number of people potentially spreading the rumor exceeds a certain threshold, the rumor is no longer controllable, i.e., there will be persistent rumors that will never disappear. This is a new emergence mechanism in the era of Internet. In this paper, we study this nonlinear mechanism both theoretically and numerically.

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Publication Details

Journal
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Published
2025-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s13662-025-03961-5
Primary Topic
Misinformation and Its Impacts
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Emergence of unquenchable rumors with extended SIR epidemic model

Wenchao Yin, Hong Gao
Advances in Continuous and Discrete Models
Misinformation and Its Impacts
article

Emergence of unquenchable rumors with extended SIR epidemic model

Wenchao Yin, Hong Gao
article en

Abstract

With the advent of the internet era, certain inaccurate news items, namely rumors, have become increasingly difficult to manage and even hard to eradicate. In this paper, considering the characteristics of information communication in current time, we extend the classic SIR infectious diseases model from a neighbor communication mechanism to a non-neighbor communication mechanism. We find that under the new communication mechanism, if there is a situation where the credibility of a rumor is greater than the credibility of the truth, and the intensity parameters for governing the rumor have also been determined, then once the number of people potentially spreading the rumor exceeds a certain threshold, the rumor is no longer controllable, i.e., there will be persistent rumors that will never disappear. This is a new emergence mechanism in the era of Internet. In this paper, we study this nonlinear mechanism both theoretically and numerically.

Advances in Continuous and Discrete ModelsVol. 2025(1)
Dalian Municipal Central Hospital (CN), Dalian Maritime University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Misinformation and Its Impacts
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