Social stability risk analysis caused by land acquisition and migration for water conservancy project construction

Social discontent and threats to social stability may result from the intricate relationships between the many parties involved in project relocation and resettlement. Thus, this study intends to examine the dynamic development of the local government and resettlers by taking into account the effect of psychological judgments of benefits and losses as well as the dynamic features of each party. Taking into account the perceived gain function and concentrating on the viewpoints of the local government and resettlers, a dynamic game model is built utilizing the Prospect Theory and Mental Accounting theory. Simulation analysis is then performed using a system dynamics model. The findings indicate that a number of factors, including the initial willingness of both parties, the strength of the compensation for relocation and resettlement, psychological reference values for payment and benefits, incentive subsidies, higher-level government supervision and punishment, the negative effects of postponing work, the synergistic benefits and distribution coefficients, and other factors, influence the strategy choices made by the local government and resettlers. The local government's behavioral techniques are essential to the relocation and resettlement of water conservation projects, as well as to lowering tensions with resettlers and minimizing their disapproval of forced migration. The results of this research can help defuse tensions between the local government and resettlers and guide the purchase, relocation, and resettlement of water conservancy projects.