Review and Assessment of Wind Power Forecasting Studies for Very Short-Term and Short-Term Horizons

Wind energy penetration is continuously increasing in electricity grids and the intermittent nature of wind speed causes the problems in system operations. Therefore, utilities, system operators and researchers focus on alleviating the negative impacts of volatile generation and harvesting wind energy efficiently. At this point, accurate wind power forecasts serve as the promising research studies in the literature. To this end, this paper presents a comprehensive literature review of wind power forecasting studies for very short-term and short-term horizons. The reviewed studies have been compared in terms of installation properties of wind power plants, inputs of forecast models, data recording intervals and periods, training, validation and test subsets, forecast horizons, accuracy measures and forecast performance. As a result of the knowledge-intensive literature tables created, the up-to-date assessments of very short-term and short-term forecasting studies have been made from different perspectives, and noteworthy recommendations have been highlighted for fairer comparisons of the reviewed studies.