Improved fractional exponential curve model for nuclear energy generation in Asia-Pacific region

To further improve the modelling and forecasting accuracy of the exponential curve model, a new type of exponential curve model is proposed by combining the fractional-order data processing method and a first-order polynomial term. The parameters involved are solved by the piecewise summation technique and the intelligent optimization algorithm. Furthermore, the new model is applied to nuclear energy generation in Asia-Pacific, and the results are compared with the exponential curve model, the modified exponential curve model, and the fractional-order modified exponential curve model. These results indicate that the newly proposed model can obtain more competitive results.

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Publication Details

Journal
Thermal Science
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2298/tsci2502339z
Primary Topic
Grey System Theory Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Improved fractional exponential curve model for nuclear energy generation in Asia-Pacific region

Wenqing Wu, Kai Zuo
Thermal Science
Grey System Theory Applications
article

Improved fractional exponential curve model for nuclear energy generation in Asia-Pacific region

Wenqing Wu, Kai Zuo
article en

Abstract

To further improve the modelling and forecasting accuracy of the exponential curve model, a new type of exponential curve model is proposed by combining the fractional-order data processing method and a first-order polynomial term. The parameters involved are solved by the piecewise summation technique and the intelligent optimization algorithm. Furthermore, the new model is applied to nuclear energy generation in Asia-Pacific, and the results are compared with the exponential curve model, the modified exponential curve model, and the fractional-order modified exponential curve model. These results indicate that the newly proposed model can obtain more competitive results.

Thermal ScienceVol. 29(2 Part B)
Chengdu Normal University (CN), Civil Aviation Flight University of China (CN)
Chengdu Normal University
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Grey System Theory Applications
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Improved fractional exponential curve model for nuclear energy generation in Asia-Pacific region — Wenqing Wu, Kai Zuo · Thermal Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS