Time series prediction of rock burst based on deep learning: A case study

Rockburst is a common mining hazard causing dynamic damage to coal and rock masses, posing significant threats to personnel and equipment safety. Various analytical methods exist to assess impact risks, with microseismic monitoring systems playing a pivotal role due to their stability, dynamism, and continuity. This approach utilizes a dual residual connection and a deeply connected stack architecture to facilitate seasonal-trend predictions and enhance their interpretability in time series prediction tasks using a purely deep learning model. The time-frequency and total energy of microseismic events are predicted using the proposed approach, and a comparative experimental study is conducted on the time window lengths of M = 7 days and M = 4 days. The results indicate that the proposed approach effectively predicts the evolution trend of microseismic event frequency, with minor discrepancies between the predicted results and the actual monitoring values, showing its excellent prediction performance and generalization capability.

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Publication Details

Journal
Thermal Science
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.2298/tsci2502319l
Primary Topic
Seismology and Earthquake Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Time series prediction of rock burst based on deep learning: A case study

Haoze Li, Siyuan Gong, Hui Li, Guoying Li et al.
Thermal Science
Seismology and Earthquake Studies
article

Time series prediction of rock burst based on deep learning: A case study

Haoze Li, Siyuan Gong, Hui Li, Guoying Li, Linming Dou, Xiufeng Zhang
article en

Abstract

Rockburst is a common mining hazard causing dynamic damage to coal and rock masses, posing significant threats to personnel and equipment safety. Various analytical methods exist to assess impact risks, with microseismic monitoring systems playing a pivotal role due to their stability, dynamism, and continuity. This approach utilizes a dual residual connection and a deeply connected stack architecture to facilitate seasonal-trend predictions and enhance their interpretability in time series prediction tasks using a purely deep learning model. The time-frequency and total energy of microseismic events are predicted using the proposed approach, and a comparative experimental study is conducted on the time window lengths of M = 7 days and M = 4 days. The results indicate that the proposed approach effectively predicts the evolution trend of microseismic event frequency, with minor discrepancies between the predicted results and the actual monitoring values, showing its excellent prediction performance and generalization capability.

Thermal ScienceVol. 29(2 Part B)
China University of Mining and Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Government of Jiangsu Province, Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Seismology and Earthquake Studies
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