Exploring the role of microbiome in cystic fibrosis clinical outcomes through a mediation analysis

Understanding the mechanisms by which the microbiome influences clinical outcomes is paramount for realizing the full potential of microbiome-based medicine, including diagnostics and therapeutics. Identifying specific microbial mediators not only reveals potential targets for novel therapies and drug repurposing but also offers a more precise approach to patient stratification and personalized interventions. While traditional mediation analyses are ill-equipped to address the complexities of longitudinal metagenomic data, our framework directly addresses this gap, enabling robust investigation of these increasingly common study designs. By applying this framework to a decade-long cystic fibrosis study, we have begun to unravel the intricate relationships between the sputum microbiome and lung function decline across different clinical states, yielding insights that were previously unknown.