Regression and Forecasting of U.S. Stock Returns Based on LSTM

This paper analyses the investment returns of three stock sectors, Manuf, Hitec, and Other, in the U.S. stock market, based on the Fama-French three-factor model, the Carhart four-factor model, and the Fama-French five-factor model, in order to test the validity of the Fama-French three-factor model, the Carhart four-factor model, and the Fama-French five-factor model for the three sectors of the market. French five-factor model for the three sectors of the market. Also, the LSTM model is used to explore the additional factors affecting stock returns. The empirical results show that the Fama-French five-factor model has better validity for the three segments of the market under study, and the LSTM model has the ability to capture the factors affecting the returns of certain industries, and can better regress and predict the stock returns of the relevant industries.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3728199.3728218
Citations
3
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
6.32
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article

Regression and Forecasting of U.S. Stock Returns Based on LSTM

Zizhou Zhang, Shicheng Zhou, Rong Zhang, Yuchen Yin et al.
3 citations
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
6.32
article

Regression and Forecasting of U.S. Stock Returns Based on LSTM

Zizhou Zhang, Shicheng Zhou, Rong Zhang, Yuchen Yin, Qinyan Shen, Chia Hong Chang
article en
3 citations

Abstract

This paper analyses the investment returns of three stock sectors, Manuf, Hitec, and Other, in the U.S. stock market, based on the Fama-French three-factor model, the Carhart four-factor model, and the Fama-French five-factor model, in order to test the validity of the Fama-French three-factor model, the Carhart four-factor model, and the Fama-French five-factor model for the three sectors of the market. French five-factor model for the three sectors of the market. Also, the LSTM model is used to explore the additional factors affecting stock returns. The empirical results show that the Fama-French five-factor model has better validity for the three segments of the market under study, and the LSTM model has the ability to capture the factors affecting the returns of certain industries, and can better regress and predict the stock returns of the relevant industries.

University of Minnesota (US), University of Colorado Boulder (US), Center Of Theological Inquiry (US), Columbia University (US), University of California, Davis (US)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
6.32
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Regression and Forecasting of U.S. Stock Returns Based on LSTM — Zizhou Zhang, Shicheng Zhou, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS