Sensitivity Analysis of the Influence of Heavy-Intensity Rain Duration on the Stability of Granular Soil Slopes Under Unsaturated Conditions

This study investigates slope stability under rainfall infiltration using numerical modeling in Plaxis 2D, comparing poorly graded sand (6.5% fines) and well-graded sand (11.9% fines) under high-intensity rainfall of 30 mm/h for durations of 8, 12, 18, and 24 h. The results indicate that, as rainfall duration increases, soil saturation rises, leading to reduced suction, lower shear strength, and decreased safety factors (S.F.s). Poorly graded sand shows minimal sensitivity to infiltration, with the S.F. dropping by only 4.3% after 24 h, maintaining values close to the initial 1.126. Conversely, well-graded sand demonstrates significant sensitivity, with its S.F. decreasing by 25.4% after 8 h and 73.7% after 24 h, due to higher water retention capacity and suction. This highlights the significant contrast in stability behavior between the two soil types. The findings emphasize the critical role of soil hydro-mechanical properties in assessing slope stability, especially in regions with intense rainfall. This study establishes a methodology for correlating safety factor variations with rainfall duration and soil type, offering valuable insights for modeling and mitigating landslide risks in rainy climates, considering the hydraulic and mechanical parameters of the soil.