Carbon Trading Price Prediction Based on Complex Wavelet Transform and Gaussian Process Twice Decompose

With the advancement of China's carbon trading market, accurate price prediction is essential for market stability. This study proposes a dual decomposition strategy using Complex Wavelet Transform and Gaussian Process Regression, with Kolmogorov complexity and log marginal likelihood for layer determination, and Approximate Entropy for sesquence reconstruction. A Gated Recurrent Unit serves as the prediction model, optimized via the CPO Algorithm, achieves high accuracy in predicting carbon prices in Wuhan and Beijing.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-02-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3728199.3728246
Primary Topic
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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Carbon Trading Price Prediction Based on Complex Wavelet Transform and Gaussian Process Twice Decompose

Jingyu Guo, Cong Zhang, Nan Wang, Changyue Wang et al.
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
article

Carbon Trading Price Prediction Based on Complex Wavelet Transform and Gaussian Process Twice Decompose

Jingyu Guo, Cong Zhang, Nan Wang, Changyue Wang, Xinyu Liu, Xiaofeng Tang
article en

Abstract

With the advancement of China's carbon trading market, accurate price prediction is essential for market stability. This study proposes a dual decomposition strategy using Complex Wavelet Transform and Gaussian Process Regression, with Kolmogorov complexity and log marginal likelihood for layer determination, and Approximate Entropy for sesquence reconstruction. A Gated Recurrent Unit serves as the prediction model, optimized via the CPO Algorithm, achieves high accuracy in predicting carbon prices in Wuhan and Beijing.

Northeast Agricultural University (CN), China Agricultural University (CN), Shenyang Jianzhu University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics
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