Alcohol use and liver cancer mortality in the U.S. (1999–2020): A CDC WONDER analysis.

e13535 Background: Alcohol consumption is a major risk factor for liver cancer, contributing to preventable mortality. This study examines trends in U.S. alcohol-related liver cancer mortality (1999–2020), stratified by demographics, geography, and socioeconomic factors to identify disparities and guide public health interventions. Methods: Mortality data from CDC WONDER were analyzed for adults aged 35+ from 1999 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per million were calculated by gender, race/ethnicity, urbanization, and region. Trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression to determine the average annual percentage change (AAPC) with statistical significance (p-values). Results: Alcohol-related liver cancer caused 30,222 deaths from 1999 to 2020, with AAMRs increasing from 4.38/million in 1999 to 8.61/million) in 2020 (AAPC: 3.32%; p &lt; 0.000001). Gender: Males (25,181 deaths, AAMR: 10.65/million) had significantly higher mortality than females (5,041 deaths, AAMR: 1.92/million). Race: American Indians had the highest AAMR per million(17.4), followed by Hispanics (10.86), Blacks (7.4), and Whites (5.3). The highest AAMR for American Indians was recorded in 2019 (25.86/million). Geography: The South had the most deaths (10,388), while the West had the highest AAMR (9.22/million). Urban vs. Rural: Rural AAMRs (6.22/million) exceeded urban (5.97/million), with rural mortality rising faster (AAPC: 4.42%; p &lt; 0.000001). Place of death: Most deaths occurred at home (11,215), followed by inpatient facilities (10,440). Conclusions: Alcohol-related liver cancer mortality rose significantly from 1999 to 2020, with disparities by gender, race, and geography. Males, American Indians, and rural residents are disproportionately affected. Targeted interventions in high-risk populations are urgently needed. Cohort Age Adjusted Mortality Rate Average Annual Percentage Change 95% Confidence Interval P value 1968-1978 1979-1998 1999-2020 2021-2023 Overall 3072.99 3226.03 2623.37 2205.23 -0.5779* -0.5939 to -0.5584 &lt; 0.000001 Males 3914.3 4164.51 3174.24 2584.94 -0.6969* -0.7148 to -0.6761 &lt; 0.000001 Females 2495.31 2630.05 2235.98 1924.98 -0.4875* -0.5109 to -0.464 &lt; 0.000001 Black or African American 3559.19 4093.77 3082.27 2455.6 -0.6105* -0.6462 to -0.5754 &lt; 0.000001 White 3032.26 3166.74 2623.46 2248.03 -0.5180* -0.5358 to -0.4971 &lt; 0.000001 Ages 25 -44 373.69 290.93 207.15 175.43 -1.6094* -1.6433 to -1.5741 &lt; 0.000001 Ages 45 - 64 2776.13 2651.73 1851.3 1474.21 -1.1679* -1.1869 to -1.1491 &lt; 0.000001 Ages 65+ 9963.27 11160.18 9680.82 8278.85 -0.2791* -0.304 to -0.2512 &lt; 0.000001 Northeast 3305.75 3351.14 2605.45 2055.82 -0.8818* -0.9001 to -0.8636 &lt; 0.000001 Midwest 3080.29 3240.08 2742.46 2344.89 -0.4931* <jats:td colspan=

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2025-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e13535
Primary Topic
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
Type
article
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article

Alcohol use and liver cancer mortality in the U.S. (1999–2020): A CDC WONDER analysis.

Adnan Bhat, Mohammad Hossain, Abdullah Zia, Sherif Eltawansy et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
article

Alcohol use and liver cancer mortality in the U.S. (1999–2020): A CDC WONDER analysis.

Adnan Bhat, Mohammad Hossain, Abdullah Zia, Sherif Eltawansy, Omar Kamel, Hira Zahid, Yasir Rashid, Aman Ullah, Ammara Fayyaz, Faizan Ahmed, Areehah Zafar Masood, Mohamed Bakr, Tehmasp Rehman Mirza, Faseeh Haider, Najam Gohar, Kainat Aman, Mian Zahid Jan Kakakhel, Yusra Junaid, Izzah Nayyab
article en

Abstract

e13535 Background: Alcohol consumption is a major risk factor for liver cancer, contributing to preventable mortality. This study examines trends in U.S. alcohol-related liver cancer mortality (1999–2020), stratified by demographics, geography, and socioeconomic factors to identify disparities and guide public health interventions. Methods: Mortality data from CDC WONDER were analyzed for adults aged 35+ from 1999 to 2020. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per million were calculated by gender, race/ethnicity, urbanization, and region. Trends were assessed using Joinpoint regression to determine the average annual percentage change (AAPC) with statistical significance (p-values). Results: Alcohol-related liver cancer caused 30,222 deaths from 1999 to 2020, with AAMRs increasing from 4.38/million in 1999 to 8.61/million) in 2020 (AAPC: 3.32%; p &lt; 0.000001). Gender: Males (25,181 deaths, AAMR: 10.65/million) had significantly higher mortality than females (5,041 deaths, AAMR: 1.92/million). Race: American Indians had the highest AAMR per million(17.4), followed by Hispanics (10.86), Blacks (7.4), and Whites (5.3). The highest AAMR for American Indians was recorded in 2019 (25.86/million). Geography: The South had the most deaths (10,388), while the West had the highest AAMR (9.22/million). Urban vs. Rural: Rural AAMRs (6.22/million) exceeded urban (5.97/million), with rural mortality rising faster (AAPC: 4.42%; p &lt; 0.000001). Place of death: Most deaths occurred at home (11,215), followed by inpatient facilities (10,440). Conclusions: Alcohol-related liver cancer mortality rose significantly from 1999 to 2020, with disparities by gender, race, and geography. Males, American Indians, and rural residents are disproportionately affected. Targeted interventions in high-risk populations are urgently needed. Cohort Age Adjusted Mortality Rate Average Annual Percentage Change 95% Confidence Interval P value 1968-1978 1979-1998 1999-2020 2021-2023 Overall 3072.99 3226.03 2623.37 2205.23 -0.5779* -0.5939 to -0.5584 &lt; 0.000001 Males 3914.3 4164.51 3174.24 2584.94 -0.6969* -0.7148 to -0.6761 &lt; 0.000001 Females 2495.31 2630.05 2235.98 1924.98 -0.4875* -0.5109 to -0.464 &lt; 0.000001 Black or African American 3559.19 4093.77 3082.27 2455.6 -0.6105* -0.6462 to -0.5754 &lt; 0.000001 White 3032.26 3166.74 2623.46 2248.03 -0.5180* -0.5358 to -0.4971 &lt; 0.000001 Ages 25 -44 373.69 290.93 207.15 175.43 -1.6094* -1.6433 to -1.5741 &lt; 0.000001 Ages 45 - 64 2776.13 2651.73 1851.3 1474.21 -1.1679* -1.1869 to -1.1491 &lt; 0.000001 Ages 65+ 9963.27 11160.18 9680.82 8278.85 -0.2791* -0.304 to -0.2512 &lt; 0.000001 Northeast 3305.75 3351.14 2605.45 2055.82 -0.8818* -0.9001 to -0.8636 &lt; 0.000001 Midwest 3080.29 3240.08 2742.46 2344.89 -0.4931* <jats:td colspan=

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 43(16_suppl)
Khyber Medical College (PK), University of Sargodha (PK), South Valley University (EG), Allama Iqbal Medical College (PK), Lahore General Hospital (PK), Shalamar Hospital (PK), Saint Louis University Hospital (US), University of Florida (US), Dow University of Health Sciences (PK), Duke University Hospital (US), Jersey Shore University Medical Center (US), Ziauddin University (PK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 83%
Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
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