Obesity-related cancer mortality in the US (1999–2020): A CDC WONDER analysis.

e23052 Background: Obesity is a major public health issue and a key risk factor for various cancers. This study examines U.S. mortality trends (1999–2020), focusing on demographic, geographic, and urbanization disparities. Methods: CDC WONDER mortality data (ages 25+) from 1999–2020 were analyzed. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per million were calculated by gender, race/ethnicity, age, urbanization, and region. Joinpoint regression assessed trends, yielding average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and p-values. Results: Obesity-related cancers caused 33,572 deaths. AAMRs rose from 3.73/million (95% CI 3.45–4.01) in 1999 to 13.52/million (95% CI 13.08–13.97) in 2020 (AAPC: 5.92%; 95% CI 5.23–6.44; p &lt; 0.000001). Females had higher AAMRs (7.22/million; 95% CI 7.12–7.32) than males (6.59/million; 95% CI 6.48–6.70). AAPC was 5.37% for females (95% CI 4.58–5.98; p &lt; 0.000001) and 6.75% for males (95% CI 6.23–7.24; p &lt; 0.000001). Blacks had the highest AAMRs (9.2/million; 95% CI 8.92–9.47), followed by American Indians (9.04/million; 95% CI 7.90–10.18) and Whites (7.13/million; 95% CI 7.04–7.22). Hispanics showed the steepest AAPC (6.31%; 95% CI 3.78–9.29; p &lt; 0.000001). Mortality was highest in adults 65+ (AAMR: 20.82/million; 95% CI 20.52–21.11) with an AAPC of 6.26% (95% CI 5.39–6.90; p &lt; 0.000001). The Midwest had the highest AAMR (7.96/million; 95% CI 7.79–8.13), while the Northeast had the lowest (5.7/million; 95% CI 5.54–5.85). Rural areas had higher AAMRs (9.45/million; 95% CI 9.24–9.66) than urban areas (6.4/million; 95% CI 6.32–6.48), with rural rates rising more sharply (AAPC: 6.98%; 95% CI 5.97–8.75; p &lt; 0.000001). Most deaths occurred in inpatient medical facilities (13,373), followed by homes (10,251). Conclusions: Obesity-related cancer mortality has risen sharply (1999–2020), with disparities by gender, race, geography, and urbanization. Targeted public health efforts are needed for high-risk groups, particularly older adults, rural residents, and minorities, to curb mortality rates. Cohort Age Adjusted Mortality Rate Average Annual Percentage Change 95% Confidence Intervel P-Value 1999-2020 Overall 6.91 5.9154* 5.2327-6.4383 &lt; 0.000001 Female 7.22 5.3651* 4.5786-5.9763 &lt; 0.000001 Male 6.59 6.7506* 6.2337-7.2375 &lt; 0.000001 African American 9.2 5.3656* 4.7002-6.0455 &lt; 0.000001 White 7.13 6.1847* 5.5699-6.6384 &lt; 0.000001 Hispanic 7.13 6.3087* 3.784-9.2911 &lt; 0.000001 Northeast 5.7 5.5577* 4.2074-6.4733 &lt; 0.000001 Midwest 7.96 6.0083* 5.2882-6.6144 &lt; 0.000001 South 6.45 6.5877* 5.8531-7.2197 &lt; 0.000001 West 7.7 5.4055* 4.7-6.4746 &lt; 0.000001 Less than 65 3.54 5.4362* 4.7101-5.9887 &lt; 0.000001 above 65 20.82 6.2611* 5.3948-6.9027 &lt; 0.000001 Urban 6.4 6.0294* 5.3265-6.6022 &lt; 0.000001 Rural 9.45 6.9779* 5.9664-8.7491 &lt; 0.000001 </jats

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2025-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e23052
Primary Topic
Cancer Risks and Factors
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article
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article

Obesity-related cancer mortality in the US (1999–2020): A CDC WONDER analysis.

Adnan Bhat, Mohammad Hossain, Abdullah Zia, Abdul Waheed et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Cancer Risks and Factors
article

Obesity-related cancer mortality in the US (1999–2020): A CDC WONDER analysis.

Adnan Bhat, Mohammad Hossain, Abdullah Zia, Abdul Waheed, Faizan Ahmed, Hira Zahid, Tehmasp Rehman Mirza, Mohamed Bakr, Najam Gohar, Aman Ullah, Sherif Eltawansy, Kainat Aman, Yusra Junaid, Izzah Nayyab
article en

Abstract

e23052 Background: Obesity is a major public health issue and a key risk factor for various cancers. This study examines U.S. mortality trends (1999–2020), focusing on demographic, geographic, and urbanization disparities. Methods: CDC WONDER mortality data (ages 25+) from 1999–2020 were analyzed. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per million were calculated by gender, race/ethnicity, age, urbanization, and region. Joinpoint regression assessed trends, yielding average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and p-values. Results: Obesity-related cancers caused 33,572 deaths. AAMRs rose from 3.73/million (95% CI 3.45–4.01) in 1999 to 13.52/million (95% CI 13.08–13.97) in 2020 (AAPC: 5.92%; 95% CI 5.23–6.44; p &lt; 0.000001). Females had higher AAMRs (7.22/million; 95% CI 7.12–7.32) than males (6.59/million; 95% CI 6.48–6.70). AAPC was 5.37% for females (95% CI 4.58–5.98; p &lt; 0.000001) and 6.75% for males (95% CI 6.23–7.24; p &lt; 0.000001). Blacks had the highest AAMRs (9.2/million; 95% CI 8.92–9.47), followed by American Indians (9.04/million; 95% CI 7.90–10.18) and Whites (7.13/million; 95% CI 7.04–7.22). Hispanics showed the steepest AAPC (6.31%; 95% CI 3.78–9.29; p &lt; 0.000001). Mortality was highest in adults 65+ (AAMR: 20.82/million; 95% CI 20.52–21.11) with an AAPC of 6.26% (95% CI 5.39–6.90; p &lt; 0.000001). The Midwest had the highest AAMR (7.96/million; 95% CI 7.79–8.13), while the Northeast had the lowest (5.7/million; 95% CI 5.54–5.85). Rural areas had higher AAMRs (9.45/million; 95% CI 9.24–9.66) than urban areas (6.4/million; 95% CI 6.32–6.48), with rural rates rising more sharply (AAPC: 6.98%; 95% CI 5.97–8.75; p &lt; 0.000001). Most deaths occurred in inpatient medical facilities (13,373), followed by homes (10,251). Conclusions: Obesity-related cancer mortality has risen sharply (1999–2020), with disparities by gender, race, geography, and urbanization. Targeted public health efforts are needed for high-risk groups, particularly older adults, rural residents, and minorities, to curb mortality rates. Cohort Age Adjusted Mortality Rate Average Annual Percentage Change 95% Confidence Intervel P-Value 1999-2020 Overall 6.91 5.9154* 5.2327-6.4383 &lt; 0.000001 Female 7.22 5.3651* 4.5786-5.9763 &lt; 0.000001 Male 6.59 6.7506* 6.2337-7.2375 &lt; 0.000001 African American 9.2 5.3656* 4.7002-6.0455 &lt; 0.000001 White 7.13 6.1847* 5.5699-6.6384 &lt; 0.000001 Hispanic 7.13 6.3087* 3.784-9.2911 &lt; 0.000001 Northeast 5.7 5.5577* 4.2074-6.4733 &lt; 0.000001 Midwest 7.96 6.0083* 5.2882-6.6144 &lt; 0.000001 South 6.45 6.5877* 5.8531-7.2197 &lt; 0.000001 West 7.7 5.4055* 4.7-6.4746 &lt; 0.000001 Less than 65 3.54 5.4362* 4.7101-5.9887 &lt; 0.000001 above 65 20.82 6.2611* 5.3948-6.9027 &lt; 0.000001 Urban 6.4 6.0294* 5.3265-6.6022 &lt; 0.000001 Rural 9.45 6.9779* 5.9664-8.7491 &lt; 0.000001 </jats

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 43(16_suppl)
Allama Iqbal Medical College (PK), Lahore General Hospital (PK), Shalamar Hospital (PK), Saint Louis University Hospital (US), University of Florida (US), Dow University of Health Sciences (PK), Duke University Hospital (US), Jersey Shore University Medical Center (US)
Openalex Percentile: Top 82%
Cancer Risks and Factors
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