Mortality trends in multiple myeloma and cardiovascular disease in the US (1999–2020).

e23056 Background: Multiple Myeloma (MM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) significantly contribute to mortality in the U.S. This study examines mortality trends from 1999 to 2020, focusing on demographic and geographic disparities. Methods: CDC WONDER data for U.S. adults (≥25 years) from 1999 to 2020 were analyzed. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per million were calculated by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urbanization level, and state. Joinpoint regression estimated average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess statistical significance. Results: MM and CVD caused 101,225 deaths, with an overall AAMR of 21.29/million (95% CI 21.16–21.42). AAMRs ranged from 19.72/million (2013) to 23.58/million (2020). The overall trend was stable (AAPC: 0.15%; 95% CI -0.14 to 0.46; p = 0.2807), but mortality increased significantly from 2018–2020 (APC: 6.96%; 95% CI 3.08–9.16; p < 0.000001). Males had higher mortality (56,591 deaths) than females (44,634 deaths). Male AAMRs were 29.33/million (1999) and 28.44/million (2020), while female AAMRs declined from 18.56/million (1999) to 16.25/million (2020). Trends showed a significant decline in females (AAPC: -0.76%; 95% CI -1.28 to -0.37; p < 0.000001) and an increase in males (AAPC: 0.47%; 95% CI 0.27–0.71; p < 0.000001). Racial disparities were evident, with the highest AAMRs in Blacks (45.45/million; 95% CI 44.79–46.10), followed by Whites (19.02/million), Hispanics (19.43/million), and Asians (12.3/million). Mortality declined significantly for Asians (AAPC: -1.52%; 95% CI -2.23 to -0.60; p = 0.0008) and Hispanics (AAPC: -0.72%; 95% CI -1.30 to -0.06; p = 0.038), while trends in Blacks and Whites were not significant. Conclusions: Despite a stable overall trend, male mortality increased, and racial disparities persisted, particularly among Black populations. Targeted interventions are needed to address mortality inequities in high-risk groups. Cohort Age Adjusted Mortality Rate per Million Average Annual Percentage Change 95% Confidence Interval P- Value Overall 21.29 0.1516 -0.1423 to 0.458 0.280744 Female 16.25 -0.7637* -1.2818 to -0.3695 < 0.000001 Male 28.44 0.4728* 0.2666 to 0.7071 < 0.000001 Asian or Pacific Islander 12.3 -1.5233* -2.231 to -0.5963 0.0008 Black or African American 45.45 -0.0821 -0.839 to 0.3407 0.737852 White 19.02 0.2266 -0.0659 to 0.5538 0.111978 Hispanic or Latino 19.43 -0.7208* -1.3047 to -0.0615 0.037992

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Journal
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Published
2025-05-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1200/jco.2025.43.16_suppl.e23056
Primary Topic
Multiple Myeloma Research and Treatments
Type
article
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article

Mortality trends in multiple myeloma and cardiovascular disease in the US (1999–2020).

Hira Zahid, Adnan Bhat, Mohammad Hossain, Abdullah Zia et al.
Journal of Clinical Oncology
Multiple Myeloma Research and Treatments
article

Mortality trends in multiple myeloma and cardiovascular disease in the US (1999–2020).

Hira Zahid, Adnan Bhat, Mohammad Hossain, Abdullah Zia, Sherif Eltawansy, Faizan Ahmed, Mohammad Aman Ullah, Omar Kamel, Areehah Zafar Masood, Mohamed Bakr, Najam Gohar, Kainat Aman, Yusra Junaid
article en

Abstract

e23056 Background: Multiple Myeloma (MM) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) significantly contribute to mortality in the U.S. This study examines mortality trends from 1999 to 2020, focusing on demographic and geographic disparities. Methods: CDC WONDER data for U.S. adults (≥25 years) from 1999 to 2020 were analyzed. Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per million were calculated by gender, race/ethnicity, census region, urbanization level, and state. Joinpoint regression estimated average annual percentage change (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess statistical significance. Results: MM and CVD caused 101,225 deaths, with an overall AAMR of 21.29/million (95% CI 21.16–21.42). AAMRs ranged from 19.72/million (2013) to 23.58/million (2020). The overall trend was stable (AAPC: 0.15%; 95% CI -0.14 to 0.46; p = 0.2807), but mortality increased significantly from 2018–2020 (APC: 6.96%; 95% CI 3.08–9.16; p < 0.000001). Males had higher mortality (56,591 deaths) than females (44,634 deaths). Male AAMRs were 29.33/million (1999) and 28.44/million (2020), while female AAMRs declined from 18.56/million (1999) to 16.25/million (2020). Trends showed a significant decline in females (AAPC: -0.76%; 95% CI -1.28 to -0.37; p < 0.000001) and an increase in males (AAPC: 0.47%; 95% CI 0.27–0.71; p < 0.000001). Racial disparities were evident, with the highest AAMRs in Blacks (45.45/million; 95% CI 44.79–46.10), followed by Whites (19.02/million), Hispanics (19.43/million), and Asians (12.3/million). Mortality declined significantly for Asians (AAPC: -1.52%; 95% CI -2.23 to -0.60; p = 0.0008) and Hispanics (AAPC: -0.72%; 95% CI -1.30 to -0.06; p = 0.038), while trends in Blacks and Whites were not significant. Conclusions: Despite a stable overall trend, male mortality increased, and racial disparities persisted, particularly among Black populations. Targeted interventions are needed to address mortality inequities in high-risk groups. Cohort Age Adjusted Mortality Rate per Million Average Annual Percentage Change 95% Confidence Interval P- Value Overall 21.29 0.1516 -0.1423 to 0.458 0.280744 Female 16.25 -0.7637* -1.2818 to -0.3695 < 0.000001 Male 28.44 0.4728* 0.2666 to 0.7071 < 0.000001 Asian or Pacific Islander 12.3 -1.5233* -2.231 to -0.5963 0.0008 Black or African American 45.45 -0.0821 -0.839 to 0.3407 0.737852 White 19.02 0.2266 -0.0659 to 0.5538 0.111978 Hispanic or Latino 19.43 -0.7208* -1.3047 to -0.0615 0.037992

Journal of Clinical OncologyVol. 43(16_suppl)
South Valley University (EG), Lahore General Hospital (PK), Saint Louis University Hospital (US), University of Florida (US), Dow University of Health Sciences (PK), Duke University Hospital (US), Jersey Shore University Medical Center (US), Ziauddin University (PK)
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Multiple Myeloma Research and Treatments
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