Heterogeneous extremes in the presence of random covariates and censoring

The task of analyzing extreme events with censoring effects is considered under a framework allowing for random covariate information. A wide class of estimators that can be cast as product–limit integrals is considered, for when the conditional distributions belong to the Fréchet max-domain of attraction. The main mathematical contribution is establishing uniform conditions on the families of the regularly varying tails for which the asymptotic behaviour of the resulting estimators is tractable. In particular, a decomposition of the integral estimators in terms of exchangeable sums is provided, which leads to a law of large numbers and several central limit theorems. Subsequently, the finite-sample behaviour of the estimators is explored through a simulation study, and through the analysis of two real-life datasets. In particular, the inclusion of covariates makes the model significantly more versatile and, as a consequence, practically relevant.

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Publication Details

Journal
Electronic Journal of Statistics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1214/25-ejs2393
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.42
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article

Heterogeneous extremes in the presence of random covariates and censoring

Martin Bladt, Christoffer Øhlenschlæger
2 citations
Electronic Journal of Statistics
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
4.42
article

Heterogeneous extremes in the presence of random covariates and censoring

Martin Bladt, Christoffer Øhlenschlæger
article en
2 citations

Abstract

The task of analyzing extreme events with censoring effects is considered under a framework allowing for random covariate information. A wide class of estimators that can be cast as product–limit integrals is considered, for when the conditional distributions belong to the Fréchet max-domain of attraction. The main mathematical contribution is establishing uniform conditions on the families of the regularly varying tails for which the asymptotic behaviour of the resulting estimators is tractable. In particular, a decomposition of the integral estimators in terms of exchangeable sums is provided, which leads to a law of large numbers and several central limit theorems. Subsequently, the finite-sample behaviour of the estimators is explored through a simulation study, and through the analysis of two real-life datasets. In particular, the inclusion of covariates makes the model significantly more versatile and, as a consequence, practically relevant.

Electronic Journal of StatisticsVol. 19(1)
University of Copenhagen (DK)
Reduced inequalities
Openalex Percentile: Top 6%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
4.42
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Heterogeneous extremes in the presence of random covariates and censoring — Martin Bladt, Christoffer Øhlenschlæger · Electronic Journal of Statistics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS