The Fourier estimator of volatility under coefficient explosions

Abstract In this paper, we study the Fourier estimator of volatility for a highly volatile asset price. To capture this situation, the price is modeled with an Itô semimartingale with coefficients that explode in finite time. This specification originated from the need to model abrupt movements of asset prices in tandem with abnormal drift/volatility behavior. We prove that the fundamental convolution formula of Malliavin and Mancino (Ann Stat 37(4):1983-2010, 2009) continues to hold true in this setting. We test the theory through numerical experiments with simulated data.

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Publication Details

Journal
Boletín de la Sociedad Matemática Mexicana
Published
2025-05-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s40590-025-00762-4
Primary Topic
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Type
article
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article

The Fourier estimator of volatility under coefficient explosions

Erick Treviño Aguilar, LC Gonzalez
Boletín de la Sociedad Matemática Mexicana
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
article

The Fourier estimator of volatility under coefficient explosions

Erick Treviño Aguilar, LC Gonzalez
article en

Abstract

Abstract In this paper, we study the Fourier estimator of volatility for a highly volatile asset price. To capture this situation, the price is modeled with an Itô semimartingale with coefficients that explode in finite time. This specification originated from the need to model abrupt movements of asset prices in tandem with abnormal drift/volatility behavior. We prove that the fundamental convolution formula of Malliavin and Mancino (Ann Stat 37(4):1983-2010, 2009) continues to hold true in this setting. We test the theory through numerical experiments with simulated data.

Boletín de la Sociedad Matemática MexicanaVol. 31(2)
Universidad Autónoma del Estado de Morelos (MX), Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México (MX)
Openalex Percentile: Top 85%
Financial Risk and Volatility Modeling
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