Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method

This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.

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Journal
Jurnal Matematika Statistika dan Komputasi
Published
2025-05-14
DOI
https://doi.org/10.20956/j.v21i3.43563
Primary Topic
Engineering and Technology Innovations
Type
article
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article

Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method

Agusrawati Agusrawati, Ruslan Ruslan, Nur Ismi Khair
Jurnal Matematika Statistika dan Komputasi
Engineering and Technology Innovations
article

Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method

Agusrawati Agusrawati, Ruslan Ruslan, Nur Ismi Khair
article en

Abstract

This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.

Jurnal Matematika Statistika dan KomputasiVol. 21(3)
Universitas Halu Oleo (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Engineering and Technology Innovations
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method — Agusrawati Agusrawati, Ruslan Ruslan, et al. · Jurnal Matematika Statistika dan Komputasi (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS