Development and Prospects of Biomass-Based Fuels for Heavy-Duty Truck Applications: A Case Study in Oregon

Decarbonizing Oregon’s heavy-duty trucking sector, which accounts for 24% of the state’s transportation emissions, is essential for meeting carbon reduction targets. Drop-in fuels such as renewable diesel, biodiesel, and synthetic fuels provide an immediate and effective solution, reducing emissions by up to 80% while utilizing the existing diesel infrastructure. In 2023, Oregon’s heavy-duty trucks consumed 450 million gallons of diesel, with drop-in fuels making up 15% of the fuel mix. Renewable diesel, which is growing at a rate of 30% annually, accounted for 10% of this volume, thanks to incentives from Oregon’s Clean Fuels Program. By 2030, drop-in fuels could capture 40% of the market, reducing CO2 emissions by 3.5 million metric tons annually, assuming continued policy support and advancements in feedstock sourcing. Meeting the projected demand of 200 million gallons annually and securing sustainable feedstock remain critical challenges. Advances in synthetic fuels, like Power-to-Liquids (PtL) from renewable energy, may further contribute to decarbonization, with costs expected to decrease by 20% over the next decade. Oregon aims for a 50% reduction in emissions from heavy-duty trucks by 2050, using a mix of drop-in fuels and emerging technologies. While hydrogen fuel cells and electric trucks face challenges, innovations in infrastructure and vehicle design will be key to the success of Oregon’s long-term decarbonization strategy.