Forecasting Solar Energy Production across Multiple Sites Using Deep Learning

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for balancing energy supply and demand in renewable energy systems. However, the performance of PV panels varies across different technologies due to differences in efficiency and how they process solar radiation. This study evaluates the effectiveness of deep learning models in predicting PV power generation for three panel technologies: Hybrid-Si, Mono-Si, and Poly-Si, across three forecasting horizons: 1-step, 12-step, and 24-step. Among the tested models, the Convolutional Neural Network—Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) architecture exhibited superior performance, particularly for the 24-step horizon, achieving R2 = 0.9793 and MAE = 0.0162 for the Poly-Si array, followed by Mono-Si (R2 = 0.9768) and Hybrid-Si arrays (R2 = 0.9769). These findings demonstrate that the CNN-LSTM model can provide accurate and reliable PV power predictions for all studied technologies. By identifying the most suitable predictive model for each panel technology, this study contributes to optimizing PV power forecasting and improving energy management strategies.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Energy Engineering
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.32604/ee.2025.064498
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.73
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Forecasting Solar Energy Production across Multiple Sites Using Deep Learning

Asmaa El Hannani, Said Laasri, Basma Saad, Hassan Silkan et al.
1 citations
Energy Engineering
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
article

Forecasting Solar Energy Production across Multiple Sites Using Deep Learning

Asmaa El Hannani, Said Laasri, Basma Saad, Hassan Silkan, Samira Marhraoui
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting is essential for balancing energy supply and demand in renewable energy systems. However, the performance of PV panels varies across different technologies due to differences in efficiency and how they process solar radiation. This study evaluates the effectiveness of deep learning models in predicting PV power generation for three panel technologies: Hybrid-Si, Mono-Si, and Poly-Si, across three forecasting horizons: 1-step, 12-step, and 24-step. Among the tested models, the Convolutional Neural Network—Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM) architecture exhibited superior performance, particularly for the 24-step horizon, achieving R2 = 0.9793 and MAE = 0.0162 for the Poly-Si array, followed by Mono-Si (R2 = 0.9768) and Hybrid-Si arrays (R2 = 0.9769). These findings demonstrate that the CNN-LSTM model can provide accurate and reliable PV power predictions for all studied technologies. By identifying the most suitable predictive model for each panel technology, this study contributes to optimizing PV power forecasting and improving energy management strategies.

Energy EngineeringVol. 122(7)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 28%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
0.73
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Forecasting Solar Energy Production across Multiple Sites Using Deep Learning — Asmaa El Hannani, Said Laasri, et al. · Energy Engineering (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS