A study on stock closing price prediction based on improved CEEMDAN and VMD quadratic decomposition

In recent years, financial stock data have been characterized by non-linearity, non-stationarity and complex dynamics, making the prediction of stock prices extremely challenging. Currently, to address the problems of limited statistical confidence and prediction accuracy in existing studies, this paper proposes a stock closing price prediction model based on improved CEEMDAN and VMD quadratic decomposition. After simulation on the IBM stock dataset, the results show that the model achieves a goodness-of-fit \({{\boldsymbol{R}}}^2\) of 98.9469% on the test set. This demonstrates the robustness and efficiency of the model in stock market prediction and provides some help for future research.

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Published
2024-12-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1145/3727993.3728041
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
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article

A study on stock closing price prediction based on improved CEEMDAN and VMD quadratic decomposition

Sen Yu, Zongjun Zhang, Z. Q. Cui
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
article

A study on stock closing price prediction based on improved CEEMDAN and VMD quadratic decomposition

Sen Yu, Zongjun Zhang, Z. Q. Cui
article en

Abstract

In recent years, financial stock data have been characterized by non-linearity, non-stationarity and complex dynamics, making the prediction of stock prices extremely challenging. Currently, to address the problems of limited statistical confidence and prediction accuracy in existing studies, this paper proposes a stock closing price prediction model based on improved CEEMDAN and VMD quadratic decomposition. After simulation on the IBM stock dataset, the results show that the model achieves a goodness-of-fit \({{\boldsymbol{R}}}^2\) of 98.9469% on the test set. This demonstrates the robustness and efficiency of the model in stock market prediction and provides some help for future research.

Hebei University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 64%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
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