Limited durability of protection conferred by XBB.1.5 vaccines against omicron-associated severe outcomes among community-dwelling adults, Ontario, Canada
We estimated XBB.1.5 vaccine effectiveness (VE) against hospitalization/death among adults aged ≥50 years in Ontario, Canada, from September 2023 to June 2024. Compared with non-XBB.1.5 vaccinees, the initial protection at 0-3 months was 64 % (95 %CI, 57 %-69 %) during XBB-sublineage predominance. It was reduced to 57 % (95 %CI, 48 %-64 %) when JN/KP-sublineages became predominant, and quickly declined. No significant protection was observed >6 months post-vaccination. The VE estimates were lower when the last vaccine dose in the reference group was given more recently than 12 months, or was the omicron-containing bivalent vaccine. Short durability of protection poses unique challenges for COVID-19 vaccination.
Authors
- Kevin L. Schwartz (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3666-7005)
- Kevin Antoine Brown (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1483-2188)
- Sharifa Nasreen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9793-113X)
- Kumanan Wilson (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1741-7705)
- Peter C. Austin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3337-233X)
- Mina Tadrous (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1911-6129)
- Ramandip Grewal (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1922-2442)
- Jeffrey C. Kwong (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7820-2046)
- Nelson Lee (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0783-6607)
- Sarah A. Buchan (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5286-8974)
- Sarah E Wilson
- Lena Nguyen
Institutions
- State University of New York (US)
- Toronto Public Health (CA)
- University of Toronto (CA)
- Ottawa Hospital (CA)
- Women's College Hospital (CA)
- Public Health Ontario (CA)
- Bruyère (CA)
- Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences (CA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Vaccine
- Published
- 2025-05-26
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127300
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.40