The Prediction of Aquifer Water Abundance in Coal Mines Using a Convolutional Neural Network–Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory Model: A Case Study of the 1301E Working Face in the Yili No. 1 Coal Mine

To address the challenges in predicting roof water hazards in weakly cemented strata of Northwest China, this study pioneers an integrated CNN-BiLSTM model for aquifer water abundance prediction. Focusing on the 1301E working face in the Yili No. 1 Coal Mine, we employed kriging interpolation to process sparse hydrological datasets (mean relative error: 8.7%), identifying five dominant controlling factors—aquifer burial depth, hydraulic conductivity, core recovery rate, sandstone–mudstone interbedded layer count, and sandstone equivalent thickness. The proposed bidirectional architecture synergizes CNN-based spatial feature extraction with BiLSTM-driven nonlinear temporal modeling, optimized via Bayesian algorithms to determine hyperparameters (32-channel convolutional kernels and 64-unit BiLSTM hidden layers). This framework achieves the comprehensive characterization of multifactorial synergistic effects. The experimental results demonstrate: (1) that the test set root mean square error (1.57 × 10−3) shows 65.3% and 85.9% reductions compared to the GA-BP and standalone CNN models, respectively; (2) that the coefficient of determination (R2 = 0.9966) significantly outperforms the conventional fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP, error: 0.071 L/(s·m)) and BP-based neural networks; (3) that water abundance zoning reveals predominantly weak water-rich zones (q = 0.05–0.1 L/(s·m)), with 93.3% spatial consistency between predictions and pumping test data.