Peramalan Jumlah Permintaan Container Dengan Algoritma Regresi Linear

The rapid growth of the logistics industry demands effective management of containers as essential transportation tools. Unpredictable container demand can lead to either overstocking or understocking, which impacts operational efficiency. This study aims to forecast container demand using the simple linear regression algorithm. The data used is historical data from PT. Bintika Bangunnusa (BBN) from January 2022 to August 2024. The independent variable used in the model is the amount of goods exported from Indonesia. The results of the study indicate that the simple linear regression algorithm is capable of predicting container demand with a reasonable level of accuracy. The model evaluation, using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), shows that this model can serve as a decision support tool in container stock planning. However, the study also finds that the forecasting accuracy could be improved by incorporating additional external variables into the model. This research provides significant contributions to logistics management, particularly in container demand forecasting, which can help optimize the company's operational capacity.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Information System Research (JOSH)
Published
2024-10-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.47065/josh.v6i1.6047
Primary Topic
Management and Optimization Techniques
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Peramalan Jumlah Permintaan Container Dengan Algoritma Regresi Linear

Khoiri Sutan Hsb, Rakhmat Kurniawan R
Journal of Information System Research (JOSH)
Management and Optimization Techniques
article

Peramalan Jumlah Permintaan Container Dengan Algoritma Regresi Linear

Khoiri Sutan Hsb, Rakhmat Kurniawan R
article en

Abstract

The rapid growth of the logistics industry demands effective management of containers as essential transportation tools. Unpredictable container demand can lead to either overstocking or understocking, which impacts operational efficiency. This study aims to forecast container demand using the simple linear regression algorithm. The data used is historical data from PT. Bintika Bangunnusa (BBN) from January 2022 to August 2024. The independent variable used in the model is the amount of goods exported from Indonesia. The results of the study indicate that the simple linear regression algorithm is capable of predicting container demand with a reasonable level of accuracy. The model evaluation, using Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), shows that this model can serve as a decision support tool in container stock planning. However, the study also finds that the forecasting accuracy could be improved by incorporating additional external variables into the model. This research provides significant contributions to logistics management, particularly in container demand forecasting, which can help optimize the company's operational capacity.

Journal of Information System Research (JOSH)Vol. 6(1)
Universitas Islam Negeri Sumatera Utara (ID)
Openalex Percentile: Top 48%
Management and Optimization Techniques
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