Novel Kolmogorov-Arnold network architectures for accurate flood susceptibility mapping: a comparative study
• A novel Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) framework is introduced for flood susceptibility mapping (FSM), demonstrating superior performance with an average accuracy of 92.5 % across two Iranian basins. • The KAN-based models (Boubaker-KAN, Cheby-KAN, and VietaPell-KAN) demonstrated superior performance compared to state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, achieving an average F1 score of 93.9. • The results demonstrate that the KAN models are capable of capturing intricate, non-linear relationships between flood conditioning factors and occurrences, effectively identifying subtle topographical and hydrological features that contribute to localized flooding. • The models exhibited a low error rate and a Matthews Correlation Coefficient of 0.866, which is indicative of their high degree of accuracy. Accurate mapping of flood susceptibility (FSM) is of paramount importance for the effective management and mitigation of this deadly disaster. This study introduces a novel framework based on the Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN) for enhanced FSM, which was applied to two basins in Iran: the Karun and Gorganrud basins. Three KAN-based models were implemented and evaluated. The performance of the Boubaker-KAN, Cheby-KAN, and VietaPell-KAN models was evaluated in comparison to state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, including Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Categorical Boosting (CatBoost). All models were trained using a set of conditioning factors related to flooding, including topographical indicators, land cover data, and soil characteristics. The delineation of flood-prone areas was conducted through the identification of historical inundation incidents, as observed in satellite imagery and documented in official reports. The results demonstrate that KAN-based models exhibit superior performance, with an average overall accuracy of 92.5 % across the two basins. Furthermore, the KAN models achieved an average F1 score of 93.90 % and an average Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) of 0.866, demonstrating superior performance in these key metrics in comparison to other techniques. The superior performance of KAN-based models can be attributed to their capacity to capture intricate, non-linear relationships between flood conditioning factors and flood occurrences, as per the Kolmogorov-Arnold representation theorem. A visual comparison of the flood susceptibility maps demonstrates that KAN models effectively capture the subtle topographical and hydrological features that contribute to localized flooding. This research contributes to the advancement of FSM techniques, offering improved tools for flood risk assessment and management. Future work should focus on incorporating additional dynamic variables and exploring hybrid approaches combining KAN architectures with ensemble methods.
Authors
- Seyd Teymoor Seydi (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3678-4877)
- Mojtaba Sadegh (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1775-5445)
Institutions
- Boise State University (US)
- United Nations University Institute for Water, Environment, and Health (CA)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Journal of Hydrology
- Published
- 2025-05-25
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2025.133553
- Citations
- 4
- Primary Topic
- Flood Risk Assessment and Management
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 4.42
Funders
- Boise State University