Construction of Electricity Revenue Prediction Model Based on PSO-BP Neural Network and Coordinated Filtering Algorithm

Electricity revenue forecasting is an important part of power enterprise management. However, traditional forecasting models have problems such as high model complexity, high computational cost, and insufficient dynamics and adaptability when facing complex market environments and changing user behaviors. This paper studies an electricity revenue forecasting model based on PSO-BP neural network and coordinated filtering algorithm, aiming to improve the forecasting accuracy and adaptability of the model. First, historical electricity revenue data, electricity sales data, electricity price data and related external factor data are collected and preprocessed. Then, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to optimize the initial weights and biases of the BP neural network, and the coordinated filtering algorithm is introduced to calculate the similarity between users and perform weighted averaging of electricity revenue, further improving the accuracy and stability of the forecast. The results show that the forecasting model based on PSO-BP neural network and coordinated filtering algorithm performs best in both mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE), with MSE of 0.019 and MAE of 0.037. In terms of dynamics and adaptability, the adaptability score can reach 8.78 points.

Authors

Institutions

Publication Details

Journal
Procedia Computer Science
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2025.04.221
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
Controls
|||
ALL TIME
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
article

Construction of Electricity Revenue Prediction Model Based on PSO-BP Neural Network and Coordinated Filtering Algorithm

Shan Gao, Jing Qiu
Procedia Computer Science
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Construction of Electricity Revenue Prediction Model Based on PSO-BP Neural Network and Coordinated Filtering Algorithm

Shan Gao, Jing Qiu
article en

Abstract

Electricity revenue forecasting is an important part of power enterprise management. However, traditional forecasting models have problems such as high model complexity, high computational cost, and insufficient dynamics and adaptability when facing complex market environments and changing user behaviors. This paper studies an electricity revenue forecasting model based on PSO-BP neural network and coordinated filtering algorithm, aiming to improve the forecasting accuracy and adaptability of the model. First, historical electricity revenue data, electricity sales data, electricity price data and related external factor data are collected and preprocessed. Then, the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is used to optimize the initial weights and biases of the BP neural network, and the coordinated filtering algorithm is introduced to calculate the similarity between users and perform weighted averaging of electricity revenue, further improving the accuracy and stability of the forecast. The results show that the forecasting model based on PSO-BP neural network and coordinated filtering algorithm performs best in both mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE), with MSE of 0.019 and MAE of 0.037. In terms of dynamics and adaptability, the adaptability score can reach 8.78 points.

Procedia Computer ScienceVol. 261
Shanghai Electric (China) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 90%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
AI Navigator

Ask Laika to Summarize, Analyze, and Connect papers live on the map.

Summarize Papers & Methodologies

Extract key findings, datasets, and comparative methods across publications.

Benchmark Rankings & Visual Analytics

Rank top research institutions, authors, funders, topics, and journals by Field-Weighted Citation Impact (FWCI) and paper volume with instant charts.

Connect Distant Disciplines

Bridge topological clusters on the map to find hidden collaborative intersections.

Construction of Electricity Revenue Prediction Model Based on PSO-BP Neural Network and Coordinated Filtering Algorithm — Shan Gao, Jing Qiu · Procedia Computer Science (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS