Research on the Resilience Evaluation and Influencing Factors of Rural Areas in Counties of Anhui Province

In recent years, research on rural resilience has become a hotspot due to the intensifying impacts of climate change and the promotion of rural revitalization strategies. Anhui Province, as a major agricultural province frequently affected by disasters and characterized by significant urban-rural disparities, holds great value in assessing county-level resilience and exploring its driving factors to identify vulnerabilities, optimize disaster response strategies, and promote sustainable development. This paper focuses on ten rural counties in Anhui Province, using multi-source data from 2014 to 2023 to construct a rural resilience evaluation system across ecological, economic, social, and governance dimensions, systematically assessing the level of rural resilience. A geographical detector model is employed to analyze the influencing factors and their mechanisms of action. The results indicate that the overall level of rural resilience in the study area is relatively low, with a comprehensive score ranging from 0.3 to 0.5, among which Changfeng County shows a higher level of rural resilience. The formation of rural resilience is influenced by multiple factors, with economic strength and market size having significant impacts. Based on the current state of rural development in the study area, this paper proposes effective suggestions and strategies for enhancing rural resilience targeted at the shortcomings and key influencing factors of rural resilience in various counties, integrating the five revitalization pillars: industry, talent, organization.