Campaign contributions and policy divergence

Standard spatial models of political competition predict that competing candidates would converge to the same policy position. In this paper, we present a novel mechanism of policy divergence in a model of campaign finance, where campaign contributions from ideologically extreme donors can be used to boost the turnout of impressionable voters. In our model, the exact location of the median voter is unknown to the candidates. Together with donors' contributions, this generates policy divergence even when the candidates are ex-ante identical and purely office-motivated. We characterize the unique equilibrium of the model in mixed strategies and provide closed form expression for the expected level of policy polarization. We further show that polarization is higher when only the incumbent can benefit from campaign contributions.

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Publication Details

Journal
Social Choice and Welfare
Published
2025-05-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00355-025-01601-1
Primary Topic
Political Influence and Corporate Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Campaign contributions and policy divergence

Nikolay Marinov, Tsz-Ning Wong
Social Choice and Welfare
Political Influence and Corporate Strategies
article

Campaign contributions and policy divergence

Nikolay Marinov, Tsz-Ning Wong
article en

Abstract

Standard spatial models of political competition predict that competing candidates would converge to the same policy position. In this paper, we present a novel mechanism of policy divergence in a model of campaign finance, where campaign contributions from ideologically extreme donors can be used to boost the turnout of impressionable voters. In our model, the exact location of the median voter is unknown to the candidates. Together with donors' contributions, this generates policy divergence even when the candidates are ex-ante identical and purely office-motivated. We characterize the unique equilibrium of the model in mixed strategies and provide closed form expression for the expected level of policy polarization. We further show that polarization is higher when only the incumbent can benefit from campaign contributions.

Social Choice and WelfareVol. 66(1)
Barcelona School of Economics (ES), University of Gothenburg (SE)
National Science Foundation, Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung, Generalitat de Catalunya, Agència de Gestió d'Ajuts Universitaris i de Recerca
Openalex Percentile: Top 83%
Political Influence and Corporate Strategies
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