Improving ODI Cricket Predictions: A Novel Approach Using Key Features and Advanced Regression Models

The outcomes of cricket matches, a sport followed passionately by millions worldwide, are influenced by many factors. This study presents a robust machine learning model to predict scores and win probabilities in One Day International (ODI) cricket matches. The model leverages key features such as toss outcomes, venue-specific attributes, team performance metrics, match locations, and detailed match statistics to enhance predictive accuracy. The proposed methodology employs several machine learning algorithms to forecast ODI cricket scores, including XGBRe-gressor, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression, CatBoost, Gradient Boosting, LGBM, and Linear Regression. To evaluate model performance, established metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean squared error (MSE) are utilized. This study highlights not only the predictive accuracy and generalizability of the model but also its practical application through integration into a mobile application. This integration enhances user interaction and serves as a valuable tool for cricket enthusiasts and analysts, enabling the identification of trends in ODI matches while demonstrating the practical application of machine learning in sports analytics.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-23
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icict64420.2025.11004737
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Sports Analytics and Performance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
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article

Improving ODI Cricket Predictions: A Novel Approach Using Key Features and Advanced Regression Models

Intisar Tahmid Naheen, Faizul Islam Bhuiyan, Md. Afjal Hossain Dali, Ferdous Reza Niloy
1 citations
Sports Analytics and Performance
3.13
article

Improving ODI Cricket Predictions: A Novel Approach Using Key Features and Advanced Regression Models

Intisar Tahmid Naheen, Faizul Islam Bhuiyan, Md. Afjal Hossain Dali, Ferdous Reza Niloy
article en
1 citations

Abstract

The outcomes of cricket matches, a sport followed passionately by millions worldwide, are influenced by many factors. This study presents a robust machine learning model to predict scores and win probabilities in One Day International (ODI) cricket matches. The model leverages key features such as toss outcomes, venue-specific attributes, team performance metrics, match locations, and detailed match statistics to enhance predictive accuracy. The proposed methodology employs several machine learning algorithms to forecast ODI cricket scores, including XGBRe-gressor, Lasso Regression, Ridge Regression, CatBoost, Gradient Boosting, LGBM, and Linear Regression. To evaluate model performance, established metrics such as the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and mean squared error (MSE) are utilized. This study highlights not only the predictive accuracy and generalizability of the model but also its practical application through integration into a mobile application. This integration enhances user interaction and serves as a valuable tool for cricket enthusiasts and analysts, enabling the identification of trends in ODI matches while demonstrating the practical application of machine learning in sports analytics.

North South University (BD)
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Sports Analytics and Performance
3.13
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