Quantifying Long Term (2000–2020) Water Balances Across Nepal by Integrating Remote Sensing and an Ecohydrological Model

Nepal is known for its complex terrain, climate, and vegetation dynamics, resulting in tremendous hydrologic variability and complexity. Accurately quantifying the water balances at the national level in Nepal is extremely challenging and is currently not available. This study constructed long-term (2000–2022) water balances for 358 watersheds across Nepal by integrating watershed hydrometeorological monitoring data, remote sensing products including Leaf Area Index and land use and land cover data, with an existing ecohydrological model, Water Supply Stress Index (WaSSI). The WaSSI model’s performance is assessed at both watershed and national levels using observed water yield (Q) and evapotranspiration (ET) products derived from remote sensing (ETMonitor, PEW, SSEBop) and eddy flux network (i.e., FLUXCOM). We show that the WaSSI model captured the seasonal dynamics of ET and Q, providing new insights about climatic controls on ET and Q across Nepal. At the national scale, the simulated long-term (2000–2020) mean annual Q and ET was about half of the precipitation (1567 mm), but both Q and ET varied tremendously in space and time as influenced by a monsoon climate and mountainous terrain. We found that watersheds in the central Gandaki River basin had the highest Q (up to 1600 mm yr−1) and ET (up to 1000 mm yr−1). This study offers a validated ecohydrological modeling tool for the Himalaya region and a national benchmark dataset of the water balances for Nepal. These products are useful for quantitative assessment of ecosystem services and science-based watershed management at the national scale. Future studies are needed to improve the WaSSI model and remote sensing ET products by conducting ecohydrological research on key hydrologic processes (i.e., forest ET, streamflow generations of small watersheds) across physiographic gradients to better answer emerging questions about the impacts of environmental change in Nepal.