Drawdowns of Diffusions

In this paper, using the excursion theory, we provide new proofs of, firstly, Lehoczky’s formula (in an extended form allowing a lower bound for the underlying diffusion) for the joint distribution of the first drawdown time and the maximum before this time, and, secondly, of Malyutin’s formula for the joint distribution of the first hitting time and the maximum drawdown before this time. It is remarkable – but there is a clean explanation – that the excursion theoretical approach which we developed first for Lehoczky’s formula also provides a proof for Malyutin’s formula. Moreover, we discuss some generalizations and analyze the pure jump process describing the maximum before the first drawdown time when the size of the drawdown is varying.

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Publication Details

Journal
ESAIM Probability and Statistics
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/ps/2025010
Primary Topic
Advanced Mathematical Modeling in Engineering
Type
article
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article

Drawdowns of Diffusions

Pierre Vallois
ESAIM Probability and Statistics
Advanced Mathematical Modeling in Engineering
article

Drawdowns of Diffusions

Pierre Vallois
article en

Abstract

In this paper, using the excursion theory, we provide new proofs of, firstly, Lehoczky’s formula (in an extended form allowing a lower bound for the underlying diffusion) for the joint distribution of the first drawdown time and the maximum before this time, and, secondly, of Malyutin’s formula for the joint distribution of the first hitting time and the maximum drawdown before this time. It is remarkable – but there is a clean explanation – that the excursion theoretical approach which we developed first for Lehoczky’s formula also provides a proof for Malyutin’s formula. Moreover, we discuss some generalizations and analyze the pure jump process describing the maximum before the first drawdown time when the size of the drawdown is varying.

ESAIM Probability and StatisticsVol. 29
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (FR), Åbo Akademi University (FI), Université de Lorraine (FR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Advanced Mathematical Modeling in Engineering
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