Robust methods to detect coupling among nonlinear dynamic time series

Two numerical methods are proposed to detect and analyze coupling in time series from deterministic nonlinear systems. The first identifies the presence of coupling or interdependence, while the second determines the directionality of coupling. The second method can also identify latent coupling-series that are not directly coupled but are correlated due to influence by another, unobserved system. Both methods accommodate periodic, aperiodic, and chaotic dynamics, and use order statistics derived from relative distances within a time-delay embedding. The methods are intended to be practical and apply to data sets consisting of simultaneous system recordings, and robust to observational noise due to their use of order statistics.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physical review. E
Published
2025-05-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/kkxh-x4qd
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Chaos control and synchronization
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.32

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article

Robust methods to detect coupling among nonlinear dynamic time series

George Sugihara, Karl J. Friston
1 citations
Physical review. E
Chaos control and synchronization
1.32
article

Robust methods to detect coupling among nonlinear dynamic time series

George Sugihara, Karl J. Friston
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Two numerical methods are proposed to detect and analyze coupling in time series from deterministic nonlinear systems. The first identifies the presence of coupling or interdependence, while the second determines the directionality of coupling. The second method can also identify latent coupling-series that are not directly coupled but are correlated due to influence by another, unobserved system. Both methods accommodate periodic, aperiodic, and chaotic dynamics, and use order statistics derived from relative distances within a time-delay embedding. The methods are intended to be practical and apply to data sets consisting of simultaneous system recordings, and robust to observational noise due to their use of order statistics.

Physical review. EVol. 111(6)
Scripps Institution of Oceanography (US), George Mason University (US)
National Science Foundation, University of California
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 19%
Chaos control and synchronization
1.32
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Robust methods to detect coupling among nonlinear dynamic time series — George Sugihara, Karl J. Friston · Physical review. E (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS