Persuasion with simplistic worldviews

Abstract We study a Bayesian persuasion model with two-dimensional states of the world, in which the sender (she) and receiver (he) have heterogeneous prior beliefs and care about different dimensions. The receiver is a naive agent who has a simplistic worldview : while he knows the correct marginal distributions of the dimensions, he ignores the dependency between the two dimensions of the state. As a benchmark, we first characterize optimal disclosure when the receiver is rational, i.e. when the receiver knows the correct prior distribution and thus shares a common prior with the sender. Then, we provide a characterization for the sender’s gain from persuasion when the receiver is naive, and contrast our results to the benchmark. Finally, we show that the receiver benefits from having a simplistic worldview if and only if it makes him perceive the states in which his interest is aligned with the sender as less likely.

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Publication Details

Journal
Theory and Decision
Published
2025-05-22
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11238-025-10046-y
Primary Topic
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Persuasion with simplistic worldviews

Maxim Senkov, Toygar T. Kerman
Theory and Decision
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
article

Persuasion with simplistic worldviews

Maxim Senkov, Toygar T. Kerman
article en

Abstract

Abstract We study a Bayesian persuasion model with two-dimensional states of the world, in which the sender (she) and receiver (he) have heterogeneous prior beliefs and care about different dimensions. The receiver is a naive agent who has a simplistic worldview : while he knows the correct marginal distributions of the dimensions, he ignores the dependency between the two dimensions of the state. As a benchmark, we first characterize optimal disclosure when the receiver is rational, i.e. when the receiver knows the correct prior distribution and thus shares a common prior with the sender. Then, we provide a characterization for the sender’s gain from persuasion when the receiver is naive, and contrast our results to the benchmark. Finally, we show that the receiver benefits from having a simplistic worldview if and only if it makes him perceive the states in which his interest is aligned with the sender as less likely.

Theory and DecisionVol. 99(3)
Corvinus University of Budapest (HU), University of Ostrava (CZ), Institute of Economics (HU)
Budapesti Corvinus Egyetem, Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal
Openalex Percentile: Top 91%
Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence
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