Optimizing Random Forest Hyperparameters for Enhanced Stock Price Prediction

Random Forests are widely used in financial forecasting because they capture complex patterns and mitigate noise. However, their predictive performance heavily depends on the careful selection of hyperparameters. This study explores the impact of hyperparameter tuning on Random Forest models for stock price prediction. We enhance model accuracy and robustness by systematically adjusting key parameters-such as the number of trees, maximum depth, and minimum sample split. Our findings reveal that well-optimized hyperparameters significantly improve predictive performance while reducing overfitting, resulting in more reliable insights for investors. This research contributes to financial forecasting methodologies by providing empirical evidence of the crucial role of hyperparameter tuning in refining Random Forest models.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ictcs65341.2025.10989295
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.11
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article

Optimizing Random Forest Hyperparameters for Enhanced Stock Price Prediction

Fares Abdulhafidh Dael, Hunaıda Avvad
1 citations
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.11
article

Optimizing Random Forest Hyperparameters for Enhanced Stock Price Prediction

Fares Abdulhafidh Dael, Hunaıda Avvad
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Random Forests are widely used in financial forecasting because they capture complex patterns and mitigate noise. However, their predictive performance heavily depends on the careful selection of hyperparameters. This study explores the impact of hyperparameter tuning on Random Forest models for stock price prediction. We enhance model accuracy and robustness by systematically adjusting key parameters-such as the number of trees, maximum depth, and minimum sample split. Our findings reveal that well-optimized hyperparameters significantly improve predictive performance while reducing overfitting, resulting in more reliable insights for investors. This research contributes to financial forecasting methodologies by providing empirical evidence of the crucial role of hyperparameter tuning in refining Random Forest models.

Openalex Percentile: Top 14%
Stock Market Forecasting Methods
2.11
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