An Agent-Based Approach for Modeling Disease Control Strategies Using the SIR Model

Understanding infectious disease transmission is essential for reducing pandemic impacts. While previous models have assessed the effects of individual intervention strategies, few have examined their combined impact. This study develops an agent-based model integrating multiple interventions within a traditional SIR framework. This study uses an agent-based SIR model to simulate disease spread and assess control strategies such as face covering and quarantine, represented by five different scenarios. Without interventions, infections peak at 50% of the population. Scenarios show that 10% quarantine compliance reduces peak infections by only 10%, while 50% compliance cuts it by 50%. Preventive strategies significantly reduce this impact; for instance, 50% compliance with masks and quarantine lowers peak infections to under 30% and delays the epidemic peak, providing critical time for healthcare preparedness. These findings guide policymakers in designing adaptive strategies to optimize public health and resources.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/ictcs65341.2025.10989410
Primary Topic
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
Type
article
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article

An Agent-Based Approach for Modeling Disease Control Strategies Using the SIR Model

Amera Al‐Amery, Rabiah Al-Qudah
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
article

An Agent-Based Approach for Modeling Disease Control Strategies Using the SIR Model

Amera Al‐Amery, Rabiah Al-Qudah
article en

Abstract

Understanding infectious disease transmission is essential for reducing pandemic impacts. While previous models have assessed the effects of individual intervention strategies, few have examined their combined impact. This study develops an agent-based model integrating multiple interventions within a traditional SIR framework. This study uses an agent-based SIR model to simulate disease spread and assess control strategies such as face covering and quarantine, represented by five different scenarios. Without interventions, infections peak at 50% of the population. Scenarios show that 10% quarantine compliance reduces peak infections by only 10%, while 50% compliance cuts it by 50%. Preventive strategies significantly reduce this impact; for instance, 50% compliance with masks and quarantine lowers peak infections to under 30% and delays the epidemic peak, providing critical time for healthcare preparedness. These findings guide policymakers in designing adaptive strategies to optimize public health and resources.

Abu Dhabi University (AE), Princess Sumaya University for Technology (JO)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
COVID-19 epidemiological studies
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