Analysis of the Spatial Spillover Effect of Talent Agglomeration on the Development Quality of China’s New Urbanization

城镇化是现代化的基本标志和必由之路，人才集聚对地区新型城镇化发展至关重要。文章基于人口普查和抽样数据以及《中国城市统计年鉴》数据，采用空间杜宾模型分析人才集聚对中国新型城镇化发展质量的影响。研究表明：1) 中国城市人才集聚和新型城镇化发展水平呈现显著的空间自相关性；2) 本地区的新型城镇化发展质量对本地以及邻近地区的新型城镇化发展质量具有显著的正向作用；3) 人才集聚对本地和邻近地区新型城镇化发展质量均具有显著正向影响；4) 邻近地区的人才集聚对本地区的新型城镇化存在正向影响；5) 人才集聚对新型城镇化质量提高具有显著的正向空间溢出效应。Urbanization is a fundamental indicator and an inevitable path to modernization, and talent agglomeration plays a crucial role in the development of regional new urbanization. Based on data from the population censuses and sample surveys, as well as data from the China City Statistical Yearbook, this study employs a spatial Durbin model to analyze the impact of talent agglomeration on the quality of China’s new urbanization development. The research findings are as follows: 1) There is significant spatial autocorrelation in talent agglomeration and the level of new urbanization development among Chinese cities; 2) The quality of new urbanization development in a given region exhibits a significant positive effect on the development quality of new urbanization in the local and neighboring areas; 3) Talent agglomeration has a significant positive impact on the quality of new urbanization development in both local and neighboring regions; 4) Talent agglomeration in neighboring regions positively influences the new urbanization development of the local region; 5) The level of talent agglomeration has a significant forward direction spatial spillover effect on the quality of new urbanization in neighboring regions.