Firm‐Level Trade Policy Uncertainty and Cost Stickiness: Evidence From a Large Language Model Approach

ABSTRACT This study investigates how managers' perceived trade policy uncertainty (TPU) affects firms' cost management decisions. Adopting a firm‐level TPU measure developed by a large language model, our analysis reveals that TPU reduces cost stickiness. This effect is more pronounced in firms managed by non‐overconfident, risk‐averse, or high‐ability executives. Our results hold when we employ a series of endogeneity tests, including a coarsened exact matching method, a difference‐in‐difference approach, and an instrumental variable approach. Finally, we find that firms' cost management decisions resulting from pessimistic expectations about future sales have significant implications for firm performance.

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Publication Details

Journal
Accounting and Finance
Published
2025-05-20
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/acfi.70032
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Firm‐Level Trade Policy Uncertainty and Cost Stickiness: Evidence From a Large Language Model Approach

Shuyang Jia, Peng Liang, Nan Hu
Accounting and Finance
Market Dynamics and Volatility
article

Firm‐Level Trade Policy Uncertainty and Cost Stickiness: Evidence From a Large Language Model Approach

Shuyang Jia, Peng Liang, Nan Hu
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study investigates how managers' perceived trade policy uncertainty (TPU) affects firms' cost management decisions. Adopting a firm‐level TPU measure developed by a large language model, our analysis reveals that TPU reduces cost stickiness. This effect is more pronounced in firms managed by non‐overconfident, risk‐averse, or high‐ability executives. Our results hold when we employ a series of endogeneity tests, including a coarsened exact matching method, a difference‐in‐difference approach, and an instrumental variable approach. Finally, we find that firms' cost management decisions resulting from pessimistic expectations about future sales have significant implications for firm performance.

Accounting and FinanceVol. 65(3)
University of Science and Technology of China (CN), Singapore Management University (SG), Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
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