Improving Real-Time Economic Decisions Through Edge Computing: Implications for Financial Contagion Risk Management

In the face of accelerating digitalization and growing systemic vulnerabilities, the ability to make accurate, real-time economic decisions has become a critical capability for financial and institutional stability. This study investigates how edge computing infrastructures influence decision-making accuracy, responsiveness, and risk containment in economic systems, particularly under the threat of financial contagion. A synthetic dataset simulating the interaction between economic indicators and edge performance metrics was constructed to emulate real-time decision environments. Composite indicators were developed to quantify key dynamics, and a range of machine learning models, including XGBoost, Random Forest, and Neural Networks, were applied to classify economic decision outcomes. The results indicate that low latency, efficient resource use, and balanced workload distribution are significantly associated with higher decision quality. XGBoost outperformed all other models, achieving 97% accuracy and a ROC-AUC of 0.997. The findings suggest that edge computing performance metrics can act as predictive signals for systemic fragility and may be integrated into early warning systems for financial risk management. This study contributes to the literature by offering a novel framework for modeling the economic implications of edge intelligence and provides policy insights for designing resilient, real-time financial infrastructures.