A Tool for Predicting Lawsuit Filings in the Brazilian Judiciary.

The Braziliancourt system faces significant challenges in managing the fluctuating demand for litigations, which impacts resource allocation, operational efficiency, andpolicy planning. This study applies time-series forecasting techniques to predict law suit demands, aiming to provide action able insights that can enhance the efficiency of the justice system. Five forecasting algorithms, ARIMA, Prophet, NeuralProphet, DeepAR, and N-Beats, were evaluated using historical data from two state courts: the Rio Grande do Norte State Court (TJRN) andthe Minas Gerais StateCourt (TJMG). The models wereassessedbasedonthe Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), with statistical analyses, includingthe Friedman and Nemenyitests, used to compare performance. The results showed that the Prophet and Neural Prophet algorithms out performed others, with RMSE values as low as 3.44 and 4.54 for TJMG, respectively. These findings suggest that advanced time series models can effectively forecast demand, enabling the justice system to anticipate periods of high activity, optimize resource distribution, and potentially reduce costs. Future research could extend this approach by integrating additional socio economic variables and applying these models across different segments of the justice system, opening up new avenues for exploration and development in the field. This study highlights the potential of datadriven strategies to enhance operational planning and decision-making with in the judiciary.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Management
Published
2025-04-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.35629/5252-070411401147
Primary Topic
Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

A Tool for Predicting Lawsuit Filings in the Brazilian Judiciary.

José Silva
International Journal of Advances in Engineering and Management
Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
article

A Tool for Predicting Lawsuit Filings in the Brazilian Judiciary.

José Silva
article en

Abstract

The Braziliancourt system faces significant challenges in managing the fluctuating demand for litigations, which impacts resource allocation, operational efficiency, andpolicy planning. This study applies time-series forecasting techniques to predict law suit demands, aiming to provide action able insights that can enhance the efficiency of the justice system. Five forecasting algorithms, ARIMA, Prophet, NeuralProphet, DeepAR, and N-Beats, were evaluated using historical data from two state courts: the Rio Grande do Norte State Court (TJRN) andthe Minas Gerais StateCourt (TJMG). The models wereassessedbasedonthe Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), with statistical analyses, includingthe Friedman and Nemenyitests, used to compare performance. The results showed that the Prophet and Neural Prophet algorithms out performed others, with RMSE values as low as 3.44 and 4.54 for TJMG, respectively. These findings suggest that advanced time series models can effectively forecast demand, enabling the justice system to anticipate periods of high activity, optimize resource distribution, and potentially reduce costs. Future research could extend this approach by integrating additional socio economic variables and applying these models across different segments of the justice system, opening up new avenues for exploration and development in the field. This study highlights the potential of datadriven strategies to enhance operational planning and decision-making with in the judiciary.

International Journal of Advances in Engineering and ManagementVol. 7(4)
Openalex Percentile: Top 84%
Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
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