Risk-averse decision strategies for influence diagrams using rooted junction trees

This paper presents how a mixed-integer programming (MIP) formulation for influence diagrams, based on a gradual rooted junction tree representation of the diagram, can be generalized to incorporate risk considerations such as conditional value-at-risk and chance constraints. We present two algorithms on how targeted modifications can be made to the underlying influence diagram or to the gradual rooted junction tree representation to enable our reformulations. We present computational results comparing our reformulation with another MIP formulation for influence diagrams.

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Publication Details

Journal
Operations Research Letters
Published
2025-05-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.orl.2025.107308
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Risk-averse decision strategies for influence diagrams using rooted junction trees

Fabrício Oliveira, Olli Herrala, Topias Terho
Operations Research Letters
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
article

Risk-averse decision strategies for influence diagrams using rooted junction trees

Fabrício Oliveira, Olli Herrala, Topias Terho
article en

Abstract

This paper presents how a mixed-integer programming (MIP) formulation for influence diagrams, based on a gradual rooted junction tree representation of the diagram, can be generalized to incorporate risk considerations such as conditional value-at-risk and chance constraints. We present two algorithms on how targeted modifications can be made to the underlying influence diagram or to the gradual rooted junction tree representation to enable our reformulations. We present computational results comparing our reformulation with another MIP formulation for influence diagrams.

Operations Research LettersVol. 61
Aalto University (FI)
Academy of Finland
Peace, Justice and strong institutions
Openalex Percentile: Top 95%
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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