Stock portfolio selection based on risk appetite: Evidence from ChatGPT

We analyze whether a large language model can generate investment portfolios with varying risk appetites and evaluate their performance against benchmarks. We prompt different ChatGPT models to create portfolios for different risk appetites of retail investors, focusing on U.S. and European equity markets. Our study reveals that higher-risk portfolios yield higher returns. GPT-4o outperforms in the U.S., while GPT-4 offers the highest returns in Europe. We further show that ChatGPT effectively adjusts portfolio risk and returns metrics based on individual risk preferences. These findings suggest private investors can use ChatGPT to improve investment decisions, but careful model selection is vital. • LLM generated portfolios can outperform market benchmarks. • GPT-4o outperforms in U.S. markets, while GPT-4 achieves the highest returns in Europe. • ChatGPT effectively adjusts portfolio risk and return metrics based on investor preferences. • Model selection is crucial for optimizing investment decisions using ChatGPT. • LLMs can reliably reproduce portfolio compositions across repeated prompts.

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Publication Details

Journal
Finance research letters
Published
2025-05-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107517
Citations
10
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
22.08
Controls
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article

Stock portfolio selection based on risk appetite: Evidence from ChatGPT

Yahya Yilmaz, Constantin J. Schneider
10 citations
Finance research letters
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
22.08
article

Stock portfolio selection based on risk appetite: Evidence from ChatGPT

Yahya Yilmaz, Constantin J. Schneider
article en
10 citations

Abstract

We analyze whether a large language model can generate investment portfolios with varying risk appetites and evaluate their performance against benchmarks. We prompt different ChatGPT models to create portfolios for different risk appetites of retail investors, focusing on U.S. and European equity markets. Our study reveals that higher-risk portfolios yield higher returns. GPT-4o outperforms in the U.S., while GPT-4 offers the highest returns in Europe. We further show that ChatGPT effectively adjusts portfolio risk and returns metrics based on individual risk preferences. These findings suggest private investors can use ChatGPT to improve investment decisions, but careful model selection is vital. • LLM generated portfolios can outperform market benchmarks. • GPT-4o outperforms in U.S. markets, while GPT-4 achieves the highest returns in Europe. • ChatGPT effectively adjusts portfolio risk and return metrics based on investor preferences. • Model selection is crucial for optimizing investment decisions using ChatGPT. • LLMs can reliably reproduce portfolio compositions across repeated prompts.

Finance research lettersVol. 82
University of Münster (DE)
Openalex Percentile: Top 0%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
22.08
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