How Do Incentive Policy and Benefit Distribution Affect the Cooperative Development Mechanism of Intelligent Connected Vehicles? A Tripartite Evolutionary Game Approach

The intelligent connected vehicle (ICV) industry encounters substantial challenges related to technology, policies, and funding. Its development relies not only on the close collaboration and technological innovation between carmakers and technology companies but also on the support of government’s incentive policies. Therefore, this paper establishes a tripartite evolutionary game model that involves governments, carmakers, and technology companies to investigate the stability equilibrium strategy of multi-party participation in promoting the development of the ICV industry. In addition, by analyzing relevant regulations and company annual reports, this paper conducts a simulation analysis to examine how government incentive policies and benefit distribution mechanisms impact the evolutionary trajectory. Several insightful and practical conclusions are drawn. First, in the early stages of industrial development, the government’s infrastructure investment could promote the cross-border innovation cooperation between carmakers and technology companies, thereby accelerating the advancement of ICVs; however, the long-term impact of the sustained investment remains limited. Second, the incremental government subsidies for carmakers and technology companies within limits could increase the probability of them choosing to cooperate and innovate with each other. Still, the excessive subsidies could result in unstable industry growth. Finally, the increase in the benefit distribution ratio for carmakers with professional technology in automotive technology and vehicle design has a positive effect on the development of the ICV industry. This paper expands the research scope of ICVs and provides theoretical insights for promoting the sustainable development of the ICV industry from policy and market viewpoints.